The Top 25 Index

Updated Oct 14, 6:55 AM · 2026 season, week 7 next · how this is calculated

Rk	Move	Team	Index	Playoff	Résumé	Chem
1	—	Notre Dame 6-0 · Independent	96	98%proj. #1 seed	#6vs #29 schedule	80
2	▲1	Georgia 6-0 · SEC	94	90%proj. #2 seed	#1vs #31 schedule	79
3	▼1	Alabama 5-1 · SEC	93	75%proj. #4 seed	#5vs #2 schedule	74
4	▲1	Miami 5-0 · ACC	93	93%proj. #3 seed	#11vs #100 schedule	71
5	▼1	Ohio State 5-1 · Big Ten	92	68%proj. #6 seed	#17vs #34 schedule ▲ better than record	65
6	—	Texas 4-1 · SEC	87	61%proj. #9 seed	#7vs #1 schedule	67
7	—	LSU 4-2 · SEC	87	21%first four out	#31vs #25 schedule ▲ better than record	60
8	—	Indiana 6-0 · Big Ten	87	76%proj. #5 seed	#4vs #62 schedule	72
9	—	Utah 5-0 · Big 12	85	58%proj. #10 seed	#14vs #73 schedule	66
10	—	Oregon 3-2 · Big Ten	82	20%long shot	#34vs #17 schedule ▲ better than record	61
11	▲1	Texas Tech 5-0 · Big 12	80	62%proj. #8 seed	#8vs #69 schedule	68
12	▲4	BYU 5-0 · Big 12	80	44%first four out	#10vs #71 schedule	71
13	—	Nebraska 5-1 · Big Ten	80	21%first four out	#27vs #78 schedule ▲ better than record	72
14	▲8	Ole Miss 4-1 · SEC	80	19%long shot	#11vs #13 schedule	66
15	▲3	Missouri 5-1 · SEC	79	17%long shot	#13vs #24 schedule	66
16	▲1	UCLA 5-0 · Big Ten	79	66%proj. #7 seed	#3vs #19 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	63
17	▼2	Oklahoma 3-2 · SEC	79	9%long shot	#20vs #5 schedule	62
18	▲3	Houston 5-1 · Big 12	79	45%proj. #11 seed	#17vs #37 schedule	74
19	▼5	Tennessee 5-1 · SEC	78	16%long shot	#20vs #44 schedule	67
20	▼9	Texas A&M 3-3 · SEC	78	<2% out of the hunt	#45vs #9 schedule ▲ better than record	36
21	▲5	Iowa 5-1 · Big Ten	78	20%long shot	#15vs #39 schedule	62
22	▲2	USC 6-1 · Big Ten	77	19%long shot	#17vs #22 schedule	65
23	▼4	Florida 4-2 · SEC	77	4%long shot	#24vs #16 schedule	63
24	▲9	South Carolina 3-3 · SEC	76	<2% out of the hunt	#49vs #26 schedule ▲ better than record	61
25	▲5	Wisconsin 4-1 · Big Ten	76	11%long shot	#20vs #30 schedule	61

How to read the Index · 10 secondshide guide

Index. The dot is how good the team is, 0–99. The gold bar is the margin of error. Wider means less certain.

Résumé. How impressive the win-loss record is for the schedule played, ranked among all FBS teams. Beating nobody doesn't rank high. Schedule ranks opponents faced so far (#1 = toughest, red = soft).

▲ better than record▼ record ahead of play

Better than its record / record ahead of its play. Shown beside the Résumé only when it and the Index disagree. Hover the tab beside the rank for the one-line reason (e.g. close wins, losses only to top teams).

Sure? How confident the model is in this rank. Three dots means very.

Index = the model's predicted margin vs. an average FBS team on a neutral field, on the 0–99 scale.All 138 teams →