Week 7 · SEC Network · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Norman, OK · 63° · 7 mph
All-time series
Kentucky 1 – 2 Oklahoma
3 since 1950 · OU 2 straight
Last 1982 Oklahoma 29–8
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Oklahoma is favored: 69% to win, by about 8 points.
Betting markets agree (69%, by 7).
Our model 69%Market 69%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | Oklahoma by 7.9 |
| Betting market | 69% | Oklahoma by 7 |
| Difference | 0 pts | 0.9 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
KentuckyvsOklahoma
86
DL
18 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
DL
even86
DL
17 tkl · 1 sacks · 4 TFL
82
LB
52 tkl · 3 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
OU +587
LB
37 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2 sacks
79
DB
48 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD
DB
OU +1190
DB
24 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Oklahoma -7, now -7: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.