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Games / Week 7 / Utah @ Colorado
85
Away
Utes
#9 · 5-0
Established rivalry
Week 7 · Folsom Field
Boulder, CO · 42° · 1 mph
All-time series
Utah 36 – 33 Colorado
72 since 1903 · 3 ties
Last 2025 Utah 53–7
65
Buffaloes
#64 · 2-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Utah is favored: 85% to win, by about 16 points.

Betting markets agree (85%, by 15.8).

Our model 85%Market 85%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model85%Utah by 15.9
Betting market85%Utah by 15.8
Difference0 pts0.2 pts

Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →

The Matchup

UtahvsColorado
QB
UTAH +18
62
QB
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
79
WR
24 rec · 336 yds · 4 TD
WR
COLO +6
75
TE
9 rec · 177 yds · 3 TD
TE
UTAH +19
56
TE
2 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
75
OL
OL
UTAH +7
68
OL
76
DE
10 tkl · 0 sacks · 1 TFL
DL
COLO +12
79
LB
24 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
COLO +1
80
LB
37 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 0 sacks
89
S
19 tkl · 2 INT · 3 PD
DB
UTAH +20
69
DB
49 tkl · 1 INT · 5 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Utah -16.5, now -15.8: moved 0.8 points toward Colorado

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.