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Coaches / Head coach / Josh Heupel
Form · last two seasons
84
performing to its level
Rating83recent
Peak84best 5 yrs
Career75whole career
confidence

Josh Heupel

Head Coach · Tennessee

Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.

Chemistry
Chem 69: typical69
continuity at Tennessee · early
Seasons here6
Programs3
Stints3

Career path

Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
2021–2026TennesseeHead Coach
2018–2020UCFHead Coach
2016–2017MissouriOffensive Coordinator

Chemistry

vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
How much continuity and loyalty his programs carryat Tennessee
Tenure here — Seasons as head coach at his current schoolTenure here73Staff continuity — Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked togetherStaff continuity86Player retention — Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)Player retention52Followers — Players and staff who followed him from his previous jobFollowers87QB & coordinator — How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinatorQB & coordinator69Roster continuity — Share of starters returning from one season to the next under himRoster continuity46
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
73
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
86
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
52
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
87
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
69
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
46
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.

As head coach

Rating83Form84≈ as usualPeak84Career75
2018–2026 · 9 seasonsRecord 73-28National titles 0Great seasons 1 (top ~7% of all teams that year)
  • Rating 83: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
  • Peak 84: best five-season stretch, 2022–2026 at Tennessee (38-14, 2 top-10 seasons by team strength), taking over an average program.
  • Career 75 (#124 since 1936): total accomplishment over 9 seasons (73-28), 0 national titles, 1 elite season; full credit for the program he inherited.
  • Proven at 2 programs: UCF · Tennessee.
Over expectation · 2016 on81Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).

Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.

Program lift75
Evaluation78
Results85
Recruiting73
Staff building75
Game management54
SeasonTeamRecordSeason rankvs contemporaries
2026Tennessee0-0#10+1.44 SD
2025Tennessee8-5#23+1.01 SD
2024Tennessee10-3#15+1.28 SD
2023Tennessee9-4#23+0.83 SD
2022Tennessee11-2#5+1.89 SD
2021Tennessee7-6#32+0.75 SD
2020UCF6-4——
2019UCF10-3#22+1.01 SD
2018UCF12-1#16+1.18 SD
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).

As offensive coordinator

Rating76Peak76

His offense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.

SeasonTeamUnit (EPA/play)Over expectationSeason score
2017Missouri0.090.091.20
2016Missouri0.01—0.04
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.