Heated rivalry
Week 7 · Fox · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Bloomington, IN · 60° · 6 mph
All-time series
Ohio State 81 – 13 Indiana
99 since 1901 · 5 ties
Last 2025 Indiana 13–10
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Ohio State is favored: 59% to win, by about 3 points.
Betting markets like Ohio State a bit more (62%, by 3.5).
Our model 59%Market 62%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | Ohio State by 3.4 |
| Betting market | 62% | Ohio State by 3.5 |
| Difference | 3 pts | 0.1 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Ohio StatevsIndiana
93
QB
1,772 yds · 17 TD · 2 INT
QB
OSU +687
QB
1,364 yds · 17 TD · 0 INT
98
WR
48 rec · 916 yds · 11 TD
WR
OSU +890
WR
30 rec · 529 yds · 8 TD
85
DE
15 tkl · 3 sacks · 4 TFL
DL
IU +287
DL
22 tkl · 5 sacks · 9.5 TFL
77
LB
30 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
LB
IU +1188
LB
41 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Ohio State -3.5, now -3.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.