Week 7 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oxford, MS · 72° · 9 mph
All-time series
Missouri 7 – 1 Ole Miss
8 since 1973 · MIZ 6 straight
Last 2019 Missouri 38–27
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Ole Miss is favored: 59% to win, by about 3 points.
Betting markets like Ole Miss a bit more (66%, by 6).
Our model 59%Market 66%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | Ole Miss by 3.3 |
| Betting market | 66% | Ole Miss by 6 |
| Difference | 7 pts | 2.7 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
MissourivsOle Miss
77
QB
1,417 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
QB
MISS +683
QB
1,435 yds · 11 TD · 4 INT
85
WR
40 rec · 590 yds · 5 TD
WR
MISS +186
WR
32 rec · 503 yds · 5 TD
86
EDGE
16 tkl · 7 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
MIZ +680
DE
12 tkl · 1 sacks · 3 TFL
79
LB
59 tkl · 4 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
MISS +281
LB
19 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Ole Miss -6, now -6: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.