Week 7 · Autzen Stadium
Eugene, OR · 54° · 5 mph
All-time series
Nebraska 6 – 2 Oregon
8 since 1952
Last 2017 Oregon 42–35
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Oregon is favored: 62% to win, by about 5 points.
Betting markets like Oregon a bit more (70%, by 7.5).
Our model 62%Market 70%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | Oregon by 4.8 |
| Betting market | 70% | Oregon by 7.5 |
| Difference | 8 pts | 2.7 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 49% of the time (891 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
NebraskavsOregon
79
WR
32 rec · 418 yds · 6 TD
WR
NEB +277
WR
27 rec · 352 yds · 4 TD
81
EDGE
6 tkl · 2 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
NEB +180
DL
23 tkl · 2 sacks · 3 TFL
78
LB
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
LB
ORE +1290
LB
26 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Oregon -6.5, now -7.5: moved one point toward Oregon
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.