Bitter rivalry
Week 7 · Sanford Stadium
Athens, GA · 72° · 10 mph
All-time series
Auburn 52 – 64 Georgia
122 since 1902 · 6 ties · UGA 9 straight
Last 2025 Georgia 20–10
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Georgia is favored: 91% to win, by about 21 points.
Betting markets like Georgia a bit less (89%, by 20.8).
Our model 91%Market 89%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 91% | Georgia by 20.7 |
| Betting market | 89% | Georgia by 20.8 |
| Difference | 2 pts | 0 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
AuburnvsGeorgia
70
QB
1,052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
QB
UGA +1989
QB
1,298 yds · 14 TD · 2 INT
75
WR
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
WR
AUB +372
WR
15 rec · 219 yds · 3 TD
92
LB
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3 sacks
LB
AUB +884
LB
30 tkl · 7 TFL · 2.5 sacks
78
CB
9 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD
DB
UGA +280
DB
13 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Georgia -19.3, now -20.8: moved 1.5 points toward Georgia
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.