The Index

All 138 FBS teams · Updated Oct 16, 7:22 AM · 2026 season, week 7 next · how this is calculated

Rk	Move	Team	Index	Playoff	Résumé	Chem
1	—	Notre Dame 6-0 · Independent	96	98%proj. #1 seed	#6vs #29 schedule	80
2	▲1	Georgia 6-0 · SEC	94	89%proj. #2 seed	#1vs #31 schedule	79
3	▼1	Alabama 5-1 · SEC	93	75%proj. #4 seed	#5vs #2 schedule	74
4	▲1	Miami 5-0 · ACC	93	92%proj. #3 seed	#11vs #100 schedule	71
5	▼1	Ohio State 5-1 · Big Ten	92	69%proj. #6 seed	#17vs #34 schedule ▲ better than record	65
6	—	Texas 4-1 · SEC	87	60%proj. #10 seed	#7vs #1 schedule	67
7	—	LSU 4-2 · SEC	87	21%first four out	#31vs #25 schedule ▲ better than record	60
8	—	Indiana 6-0 · Big Ten	87	75%proj. #5 seed	#4vs #62 schedule	72
9	—	Utah 5-0 · Big 12	85	60%proj. #9 seed	#14vs #73 schedule	66
10	—	Oregon 3-2 · Big Ten	82	18%long shot	#34vs #17 schedule ▲ better than record	61
11	▲1	Texas Tech 5-0 · Big 12	80	64%proj. #8 seed	#8vs #69 schedule	68
12	▲4	BYU 5-0 · Big 12	80	45%proj. #11 seed	#10vs #71 schedule	71
13	—	Nebraska 5-1 · Big Ten	80	21%first four out	#27vs #78 schedule ▲ better than record	72
14	▲8	Ole Miss 4-1 · SEC	80	19%long shot	#11vs #13 schedule	66
15	▲3	Missouri 5-1 · SEC	79	17%long shot	#13vs #24 schedule	66
16	▲1	UCLA 5-0 · Big Ten	79	65%proj. #7 seed	#3vs #19 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	63
17	▼2	Oklahoma 3-2 · SEC	79	10%long shot	#20vs #5 schedule	62
18	▲3	Houston 5-1 · Big 12	79	44%first four out	#17vs #37 schedule	74
19	▼5	Tennessee 5-1 · SEC	78	16%long shot	#20vs #44 schedule	67
20	▼9	Texas A&M 3-3 · SEC	78	<2% out of the hunt	#45vs #9 schedule ▲ better than record	36
21	▲5	Iowa 5-1 · Big Ten	78	20%long shot	#15vs #39 schedule	62
22	▲2	USC 6-1 · Big Ten	77	18%long shot	#17vs #22 schedule	65
23	▼4	Florida 4-2 · SEC	77	4%long shot	#24vs #16 schedule	63
24	▲9	South Carolina 3-3 · SEC	76	<2% out of the hunt	#49vs #26 schedule ▲ better than record	61
25	▲5	Wisconsin 4-1 · Big Ten	76	12%long shot	#20vs #30 schedule	61
26	▼6	Mississippi State 4-1 · SEC	76	8%long shot	#9vs #7 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	69
27	▲5	Arizona 5-1 · Big 12	75	12%long shot	#27vs #93 schedule	68
28	▲10	Louisville 3-3 · ACC	75	2%long shot	#49vs #21 schedule ▲ better than record	56
29	—	Boise State 5-1 · Pac-12	75	25%first four out	#24vs #55 schedule	77
30	▲6	Wake Forest 5-1 · ACC	75	16%long shot	#15vs #18 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	79
31	▼8	Northwestern 4-1 · Big Ten	75	7%long shot	#24vs #65 schedule	65
32	▼7	Auburn 3-2 · SEC	75	<2% out of the hunt	#38vs #11 schedule	52
33	▼6	Penn State 3-3 · Big Ten	74	<2% out of the hunt	#72vs #33 schedule ▲ better than record	49
34	▼6	Michigan 3-2 · Big Ten	74	<2% out of the hunt	#45vs #23 schedule ▲ better than record	54
35	▼4	Pittsburgh 5-1 · ACC	74	5%long shot	#34vs #75 schedule	70
36	▼1	Kansas 2-3 · Big 12	73	<2% out of the hunt	#103vs #46 schedule ▲ better than record	62
37	▲5	Kentucky 5-1 · SEC	73	11%long shot	#2vs #10 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	48
38	▲7	Baylor 4-1 · Big 12	73	6%long shot	#34vs #72 schedule	57
39	▼5	Florida State 3-3 · ACC	72	<2% out of the hunt	#65vs #28 schedule ▲ better than record	64
40	▲19	Oregon State 4-2 · Pac-12	72	2%long shot	#57vs #91 schedule ▲ better than record	56
41	▼4	SMU 4-1 · ACC	72	4%long shot	#34vs #92 schedule	64
42	▼2	Virginia Tech 4-2 · ACC	72	<2% out of the hunt	#53vs #85 schedule ▲ better than record	65
43	▼4	Kansas State 3-2 · Big 12	71	<2% out of the hunt	#72vs #83 schedule ▲ better than record	62
44	▲5	Oklahoma State 4-1 · Big 12	71	4%long shot	#27vs #57 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	66
45	▲12	New Mexico 4-1 · Mountain West	70	10%long shot	#53vs #131 schedule	72
46	▼3	James Madison 6-0 · Sun Belt	70	40%proj. #12 seed	#20vs #115 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	61
47	—	Clemson 3-2 · ACC	70	<2% out of the hunt	#31vs #4 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	51
48	—	Iowa State 3-3 · Big 12	70	<2% out of the hunt	#61vs #32 schedule ▲ better than record	46
49	▼3	Duke 4-1 · ACC	69	<2% out of the hunt	#41vs #104 schedule	65
50	▼9	Washington 3-3 · Big Ten	69	<2% out of the hunt	#80vs #50 schedule ▲ better than record	53
51	▲3	TCU 2-3 · Big 12	69	<2% out of the hunt	#88vs #58 schedule ▲ better than record	60
52	▼2	UCF 3-3 · Big 12	69	<2% out of the hunt	#53vs #35 schedule	64
53	▲2	Memphis 5-1 · American Athletic	68	4%long shot	#41vs #125 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	62
54	▼2	Virginia 4-2 · ACC	68	<2% out of the hunt	#61vs #82 schedule	59
55	▼4	Michigan State 2-4 · Big Ten	68	<2% out of the hunt	#76vs #6 schedule ▲ better than record	52
56	▲4	Illinois 3-3 · Big Ten	68	<2% out of the hunt	#69vs #38 schedule ▲ better than record	59
57	▲5	North Carolina 3-2 · ACC	68	<2% out of the hunt	#31vs #15 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	63
58	▲14	Purdue 3-3 · Big Ten	68	<2% out of the hunt	#41vs #12 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	67
59	▲6	Liberty 5-1 · Conference USA	68	6%long shot	#49vs #136 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	72
60	▼16	Vanderbilt 3-3 · SEC	67	<2% out of the hunt	#57vs #20 schedule	40
61	▼5	Arizona State 3-2 · Big 12	67	<2% out of the hunt	#45vs #52 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	51
62	▲2	North Texas 4-2 · American Athletic	67	<2% out of the hunt	#57vs #97 schedule	50
63	▼10	Minnesota 4-2 · Big Ten	65	<2% out of the hunt	#38vs #61 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	64
64	▲5	Colorado 2-3 · Big 12	65	<2% out of the hunt	#65vs #27 schedule	39
65	▼2	North Dakota State 5-1 · Mountain West	65	3%long shot	#45vs #128 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	58
66	▲1	Arkansas 2-4 · SEC	65	<2% out of the hunt	#72vs #8 schedule	52
67	▲3	Georgia Tech 2-3 · ACC	65	<2% out of the hunt	#96vs #70 schedule ▲ better than record	46
68	▲5	Syracuse 2-3 · ACC	64	<2% out of the hunt	#88vs #79 schedule ▲ better than record	44
69	▲12	Air Force 4-1 · Mountain West	64	3%long shot	#57vs #129 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	58
70	▲6	UTSA 5-1 · American Athletic	64	3%long shot	#27vs #80 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	66
71	▼10	NC State 3-3 · ACC	64	<2% out of the hunt	#69vs #49 schedule	52
72	▼6	South Florida 4-2 · American Athletic	64	<2% out of the hunt	#80vs #122 schedule	33
73	▼15	Cincinnati 4-1 · Big 12	64	<2% out of the hunt	#38vs #81 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	66
74	—	Maryland 2-4 · Big Ten	64	<2% out of the hunt	#76vs #14 schedule	54
75	▼7	West Virginia 3-3 · Big 12	63	<2% out of the hunt	#72vs #53 schedule	56
76	▲1	Fresno State 4-2 · Pac-12	63	<2% out of the hunt	#53vs #59 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	68
77	▼2	Texas State 2-3 · Pac-12	63	<2% out of the hunt	#92vs #60 schedule ▲ better than record	58
78	▲2	California 3-3 · ACC	62	<2% out of the hunt	#65vs #40 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	36
79	▲8	Navy 2-3 · American Athletic	61	<2% out of the hunt	#110vs #116 schedule ▲ better than record	56
80	▼1	East Carolina 3-2 · American Athletic	61	<2% out of the hunt	#84vs #95 schedule	45
81	▲2	Boston College 2-3 · ACC	60	<2% out of the hunt	#88vs #76 schedule	50
82	▲6	Western Michigan 4-2 · Mid-American	60	<2% out of the hunt	#69vs #108 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	65
83	▲6	UNLV 4-2 · Mountain West	60	<2% out of the hunt	#61vs #66 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	64
84	▼13	Toledo 4-2 · Mid-American	60	<2% out of the hunt	#92vs #133 schedule	31
85	▼1	Florida Atlantic 4-1 · American Athletic	60	<2% out of the hunt	#41vs #111 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	69
86	▲16	Georgia State 4-1 · Sun Belt	60	<2% out of the hunt	#61vs #134 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	55
87	▼1	Louisiana Tech 3-2 · Sun Belt	60	<2% out of the hunt	#49vs #48 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	61
88	▼6	Utah State 2-4 · Pac-12	59	<2% out of the hunt	#103vs #43 schedule ▲ better than record	52
89	▲5	Georgia Southern 2-4 · Sun Belt	59	<2% out of the hunt	#110vs #68 schedule ▲ better than record	57
90	—	Army 3-2 · American Athletic	59	<2% out of the hunt	#84vs #113 schedule	69
91	▼13	Rutgers 1-4 · Big Ten	58	<2% out of the hunt	#126vs #54 schedule ▲ better than record	30
92	▲7	Ohio 4-2 · Mid-American	58	<2% out of the hunt	#80vs #121 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	61
93	▲8	UConn 3-3 · Independent	58	<2% out of the hunt	#107vs #120 schedule ▲ better than record	46
94	▼2	Louisiana 4-2 · Sun Belt	58	<2% out of the hunt	#76vs #123 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	66
95	▼4	Tulsa 3-3 · American Athletic	58	<2% out of the hunt	#84vs #89 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	62
96	—	Troy 3-2 · Sun Belt	58	<2% out of the hunt	#84vs #112 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	48
97	—	Florida International 3-2 · Conference USA	58	<2% out of the hunt	#92vs #130 schedule	56
98	▼5	Tulane 2-3 · American Athletic	57	<2% out of the hunt	#96vs #56 schedule	52
99	▼1	Washington State 1-5 · Pac-12	57	<2% out of the hunt	#127vs #47 schedule ▲ better than record	26
100	▲12	Nevada 2-3 · Mountain West	56	<2% out of the hunt	#121vs #137 schedule ▲ better than record	56
101	▲4	Jacksonville State 4-2 · Conference USA	56	<2% out of the hunt	#80vs #127 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	65
102	▲1	Arkansas State 2-4 · Sun Belt	56	<2% out of the hunt	#117vs #102 schedule ▲ better than record	55
103	▼8	Temple 2-4 · American Athletic	55	<2% out of the hunt	#114vs #86 schedule ▲ better than record	59
104	▲6	Old Dominion 2-4 · Sun Belt	55	<2% out of the hunt	#114vs #88 schedule ▲ better than record	38
105	▲2	South Alabama 4-2 · Sun Belt	55	<2% out of the hunt	#76vs #117 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	66
106	▼21	San Diego State 2-4 · Pac-12	55	<2% out of the hunt	#96vs #41 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	20
107	▼1	Stanford 2-4 · ACC	54	<2% out of the hunt	#65vs #3 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	24
108	—	Eastern Michigan 4-3 · Mid-American	54	<2% out of the hunt	#100vs #118 schedule	62
109	▼9	Colorado State 2-3 · Pac-12	54	<2% out of the hunt	#100vs #67 schedule	42
110	▲7	Miami (OH) 3-3 · Mid-American	53	<2% out of the hunt	#103vs #110 schedule	56
111	▲4	Rice 1-5 · American Athletic	53	<2% out of the hunt	#128vs #42 schedule ▲ better than record	58
112	▼8	Delaware 2-3 · Conference USA	53	<2% out of the hunt	#103vs #90 schedule	59
113	▼2	San José State 3-3 · Mountain West	53	<2% out of the hunt	#107vs #107 schedule	73
114	▲5	UAB 3-3 · American Athletic	53	<2% out of the hunt	#92vs #105 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	54
115	▼1	Kennesaw State 1-4 · Conference USA	53	<2% out of the hunt	#132vs #98 schedule ▲ better than record	56
116	▼7	App State 3-2 · Sun Belt	53	<2% out of the hunt	#88vs #135 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	63
117	▲1	Coastal Carolina 2-4 · Sun Belt	52	<2% out of the hunt	#121vs #109 schedule	49
118	▲2	New Mexico State 2-4 · Conference USA	52	<2% out of the hunt	#121vs #103 schedule	55
119	▲2	Marshall 3-3 · Sun Belt	52	<2% out of the hunt	#110vs #119 schedule	52
120	▼4	Central Michigan 3-3 · Mid-American	52	<2% out of the hunt	#96vs #84 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	59
121	▲4	Wyoming 3-3 · Mountain West	52	<2% out of the hunt	#110vs #132 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	54
122	▲6	Western Kentucky 2-4 · Conference USA	52	<2% out of the hunt	#117vs #63 schedule	49
123	▼10	Sam Houston 1-4 · Conference USA	52	<2% out of the hunt	#124vs #77 schedule	57
124	▼2	Massachusetts 4-2 · Mid-American	52	<2% out of the hunt	#107vs #138 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	52
125	▼1	Hawai'i 1-5 · Mountain West	51	<2% out of the hunt	#130vs #96 schedule	34
126	▲5	Buffalo 3-3 · Mid-American	51	<2% out of the hunt	#100vs #124 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	48
127	—	Southern Miss 1-4 · Sun Belt	51	<2% out of the hunt	#129vs #101 schedule	47
128	▼5	Sacramento State 1-5 · Mid-American	50	<2% out of the hunt	#135vs #126 schedule	0
129	▲4	Bowling Green 2-4 · Mid-American	50	<2% out of the hunt	#117vs #87 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	59
130	▼1	Missouri State 1-4 · Conference USA	47	<2% out of the hunt	#131vs #94 schedule	25
131	▲1	Akron 1-5 · Mid-American	44	<2% out of the hunt	#134vs #99 schedule	45
132	▼6	Middle Tennessee 2-3 · Conference USA	42	<2% out of the hunt	#114vs #114 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	57
133	▲2	Ball State 1-5 · Mid-American	41	<2% out of the hunt	#133vs #51 schedule	54
134	▼4	Northern Illinois 0-5 · Mountain West	41	<2% out of the hunt	#136vs #45 schedule	48
135	▲1	Kent State 2-4 · Mid-American	39	<2% out of the hunt	#117vs #64 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	48
136	▲1	UL Monroe 0-5 · Sun Belt	39	<2% out of the hunt	#136vs #106 schedule	32
137	▼3	UTEP 1-5 · Mountain West	38	<2% out of the hunt	#124vs #36 schedule ▼ record ahead of play	25
138	—	Charlotte 0-6 · American Athletic	32	<2% out of the hunt	#136vs #74 schedule	33

How to read the Index · 10 secondshide guide

Index. The dot is how good the team is, 0–99. The gold bar is the margin of error. Wider means less certain.

Résumé. How impressive the win-loss record is for the schedule played, ranked among all FBS teams. Beating nobody doesn't rank high. Schedule ranks opponents faced so far (#1 = toughest, red = soft).

▲ better than record▼ record ahead of play

Better than its record / record ahead of its play. Shown beside the Résumé only when it and the Index disagree. Hover the tab beside the rank for the one-line reason (e.g. close wins, losses only to top teams).

Sure. How confident the model is in this rank. Three dots means very. The full Index lists the surest and least sure.

Index = the model's predicted margin vs. an average FBS team on a neutral field, on the 0–99 scale.Top 25 Index →

Biggest movers · since last update

Oregon State▲19

Georgia State▲16

Purdue▲14

New Mexico▲12

Air Force▲12

Nevada▲12

San Diego State▼21

Vanderbilt▼16

Cincinnati▼15