As of kickoff
Week 5 · ESPN2 · Doak Campbell Stadium
Tallahassee, FL · 84° Cloudy · 2 mph · rain
All-time series
Virginia 5 – 16 Florida State
21 since 1992
Last 2026 Florida State 38–7
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Florida State · hit.
We
Florida State by 0.5
Close
Virginia by 1.3
Final
Florida State by 31
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Florida State); closer than the market (30 pts off vs 32).
Missed — the margin (final Florida State by 31, we had Florida State by 0.5).
Virginia
7
Final
Florida State won
Florida State
38
How it was won
- 1.Florida State out-gained Virginia 464-205, and the run game was 281-37 Florida State's way.
- 2.Florida State's front sacked them 10 times.
- 3.Daniels rush middle for 81 yards, touchdown
The Matchup
VirginiavsFlorida State
68
QB
1,080 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
QB
FSU +674
QB
1,320 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
85
DE
28 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
UVA +679
DL
12 tkl · 5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
76
LB
23 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
FSU +379
LB
37 tkl · 4 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Virginia -2, now -2: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.