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Teams / ACC / Florida State
Index · this season
72
at its 5-year level
Career77since 1936
Peak961987
Last 574seasons
#39 nationally · 3-3 (1-2 conf)
Résumé #65 · better than its record
Schedule so far #28
Margin ±5 pts (tightens with games)
Why 72? →

Florida State Seminoles

ACC · Tallahassee, FL · Doak Campbell Stadium · Head coach Mike Norvell
Rival
Florida · also Miami
Heated rivalry
28-38-2 all time (68 meetings since 1904)
Florida leads
Last: lost 40-21 (2025) · Florida has won 2 straight
Wants it back
2 title(s) won on the field in the BCS / playoff eraPlayoff Champion3 Heisman winnersHeisman House218 NFL draft picks (top 10% of FBS)NFL Factory39 consensus All-AmericansAll-American Factory
Recognized national titles: 2013, 1999, 1993. Counted: AP poll champion, a coaches-poll champion, or the BCS / playoff title-game winner; a split year counts for both.3national titles
Heisman Trophy winners3Heisman
Seasons finishing in the AP top 10 since 193621AP top-10
Consensus All-Americans since 193639All-Americans
NFL draft picks since 1967218NFL picks
Winning percentage since 193663.6%win pct
History since 1936 · football since 1951. Every season →
Chemistry
Chem 64: typical64
Chem 69: typical
69Foundation
Chem 57: typical
57Gel
gel counts 45% so far
▲ Above its norm +4Trending up
early · #39 of 138
HC year7
Ret. starters27%
QB yrs w/ OC1
View chemistry →
Team chemistryearly · #39 of 138 FBS teams
Chem 69: typicalFoundation69+Chem 57: typicalGel57=Chem 64: typicalChem64Gel counts 45% so far (it grows as games are played, up to half)
Foundationwhat the program has built · moves over seasons
Foundation69Staff stability — Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnoverStaff stability62Roster continuity — Returning starters and the lineup's experienceRoster continuity70Unit cohesion — QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played togetherUnit cohesion64Administration — Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignmentAdministration65Investment — Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruitingInvestment83Fan base — How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matterFan base72
ContinuityClimate
Continuity · who has played and coached togetherlive

Who has played and coached together, and for how long, ranked against every FBS team at the same point of the season.

▸Staff stability
Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnover
62
Staff cohesion61
HC year 7 · OC year 1 · DC year 2
Assistant turnover63
42% of on-field staff new this season (FBS average about 45%)
▸Roster continuity
Returning starters and the lineup's experience
70
Returning core53
27% of last season's starters · FBS median 32%
Experience86
17 career starts per starter · FBS median 12
▸Unit cohesion
QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played together
64
QB & coordinator55
1st season together · same as 76% of FBS teams
QB & receivers75
5.5 games started together on average · FBS median 3.9
Line cohesion62
5.2 games per linemen pair · FBS median 5.2
Defensive cohesion61
4.5 games per defensive pair · FBS median 4.5
Climate · around the programlive

The administration, money and fans around the team: athletic director continuity, willingness to invest, and crowds.

▸Administration
Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignment
65
AD continuity65
Michael Alford · year 5 (Wikipedia, CC BY-SA)
▸Investment
Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruiting
83
Football's share93
43% of department spending goes to football
Investment trend74
+54% over three years
Football investment93
$83.3M on football (2024-25 federal report)
Recruiting spend68
$1.89M men's recruiting
Department resources80
$193M athletic department revenue
▸Fan base
How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matter
72
Sellouts73
sellout crowds (95%+ of capacity) at 26 of 46 home games (last 8 seasons)
Sells out anyway72
sellout crowds at 20 of 39 games that didn't matter: cupcakes, or a team expected to lose or having a losing season

Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures, as reported by each school. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA). Attendance: reported crowds vs stadium capacity.

Gelhow it is working right now · moves week to week
Gel57Playing above its parts — Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by gamePlaying above its parts53Settled & sharp — A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normalSettled & sharp72Alignment — Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one pageAlignmentsoonResilience — Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversityResiliencesoonFan & media mood — Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins laterFan & media mood55Coach security — The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new ADCoach security35
InternalOn-field fitExternal
Internal · how the program talkscoming

How the team talks in press conferences and interviews, each program against its own normal, so a naturally terse coach isn't read as upset. Being built program by program, Big Ten first.

▸Alignment
Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one page
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.
▸Resilience
Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversity
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.

Readings are team-level; we don't publish psychological readings of individual players.

On-field fit · how it is playing togetherlive

How the team is playing together this season: beating or missing its preseason expectation, a settled lineup, clean execution.

▸Playing above its parts
Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by game
53
This season53
-2.8 points a game vs its preseason projection (5 games)
▸Settled & sharp
A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normal
72
This season72
88% of starters kept game to game
External · pressure from outsidelive

Pressure from outside the building: the hard-facts hot seat now; this season's fan and media mood as it is measured.

▸Fan & media mood
Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins later
55
This season55
outside the AP poll: projected #31 preseason -> #39 in our Index now · rival week vs Miami (+3) · results 3-3 (+1, recent games count more)
▸Coach security
The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new AD
35
This season35
Mike Norvell, year 7 · 50% wins so far · -2.8 pts a game vs preseason expectation · last two seasons -36% vs the program's norm

Dashed gold ring = typical (62). 20-50 is the warning zone; under 10 is a collapse. Spokes with no data yet are dashed and left out until they fill in. Chem blends the two halves, then places the blend among this season's teams.

Trend · Foundationeach program year runs Feb 1 to the title game
'1673'1773'1837'1962'2041'2164'2268'2367'2463'2551'262016 wk 1 vs Ole Miss: 94 · W2016 wk 2 vs Charleston Southern: 96 · W2016 wk 3 vs Louisville: 62 · L2016 wk 4 vs South Florida: 66 · W2016 wk 5 vs North Carolina: 71 · L2016 wk 6 vs Miami: 74 · W2016 wk 7 vs Wake Forest: 71 · W2016 wk 9 vs Clemson: 66 · L2016 wk 10 vs NC State: 68 · W2016 wk 11 vs Boston College: 72 · W2016 wk 12 vs Syracuse: 73 · W2016 wk 13 vs Florida: 72 · W2016 wk 1 vs Michigan: 73 · W2017 wk 4 vs NC State: 80 · L2017 wk 5 vs Wake Forest: 76 · W2017 wk 6 vs Miami: 73 · L2017 wk 7 vs Duke: 72 · W2017 wk 8 vs Louisville: 71 · L2017 wk 9 vs Boston College: 73 · L2017 wk 10 vs Syracuse: 73 · W2017 wk 11 vs Clemson: 71 · L2017 wk 12 vs Delaware State: 75 · W2017 wk 13 vs Florida: 74 · W2017 wk 14 vs UL Monroe: 76 · W2017 wk 1 vs Southern Miss: 73 · W2018 wk 2 vs Samford: 29 · W2018 wk 3 vs Syracuse: 29 · L2018 wk 4 vs Northern Illinois: 41 · W2018 wk 5 vs Louisville: 37 · W2018 wk 6 vs Miami: 41 · L2018 wk 8 vs Wake Forest: 40 · W2018 wk 9 vs Clemson: 42 · L2018 wk 10 vs NC State: 43 · L2018 wk 11 vs Notre Dame: 41 · L2018 wk 12 vs Boston College: 39 · W2018 wk 13 vs Florida: 37 · L2019 wk 3 vs Virginia: 62 · L2019 wk 4 vs Louisville: 61 · W2019 wk 5 vs NC State: 64 · W2019 wk 7 vs Clemson: 62 · L2019 wk 8 vs Wake Forest: 62 · L2019 wk 9 vs Syracuse: 64 · W2019 wk 10 vs Miami: 59 · L2019 wk 11 vs Boston College: 62 · W2019 wk 12 vs Alabama State: 59 · W2019 wk 14 vs Florida: 62 · L2019 wk 1 vs Arizona State: 62 · L2020 wk 4 vs Miami: 54 · L2020 wk 5 vs Jacksonville State: 54 · W2020 wk 6 vs Notre Dame: 45 · L2020 wk 7 vs North Carolina: 51 · W2020 wk 8 vs Louisville: 50 · L2020 wk 10 vs Pittsburgh: 46 · L2020 wk 11 vs NC State: 47 · L2020 wk 15 vs Duke: 41 · W2021 wk 2 vs Jacksonville State: 62 · L2021 wk 3 vs Wake Forest: 58 · L2021 wk 4 vs Louisville: 59 · L2021 wk 5 vs Syracuse: 61 · W2021 wk 6 vs North Carolina: 62 · W2021 wk 8 vs Massachusetts: 61 · W2021 wk 9 vs Clemson: 62 · L2021 wk 10 vs NC State: 65 · L2021 wk 11 vs Miami: 61 · W2021 wk 12 vs Boston College: 64 · W2021 wk 13 vs Florida: 64 · L2022 wk 1 vs LSU: 65 · W2022 wk 3 vs Louisville: 67 · W2022 wk 4 vs Boston College: 66 · W2022 wk 5 vs Wake Forest: 68 · L2022 wk 6 vs NC State: 67 · L2022 wk 7 vs Clemson: 68 · L2022 wk 9 vs Georgia Tech: 66 · W2022 wk 10 vs Miami: 68 · W2022 wk 11 vs Syracuse: 70 · W2022 wk 12 vs Louisiana: 68 · W2022 wk 13 vs Florida: 70 · W2022 wk 1 vs Oklahoma: 68 · W2023 wk 2 vs Southern Miss: 72 · W2023 wk 3 vs Boston College: 72 · W2023 wk 4 vs Clemson: 72 · W2023 wk 6 vs Virginia Tech: 73 · W2023 wk 7 vs Syracuse: 74 · W2023 wk 8 vs Duke: 73 · W2023 wk 9 vs Wake Forest: 74 · W2023 wk 10 vs Pittsburgh: 73 · W2023 wk 11 vs Miami: 73 · W2023 wk 12 vs North Alabama: 75 · W2023 wk 13 vs Florida: 75 · W2023 wk 14 vs Louisville: 67 · W2023 wk 1 vs Georgia: 67 · L2024 wk 1 vs Boston College: 70 · L2024 wk 3 vs Memphis: 71 · L2024 wk 4 vs California: 65 · W2024 wk 5 vs SMU: 68 · L2024 wk 6 vs Clemson: 69 · L2024 wk 8 vs Duke: 68 · L2024 wk 9 vs Miami: 68 · L2024 wk 10 vs North Carolina: 67 · L2024 wk 11 vs Notre Dame: 66 · L2024 wk 13 vs Charleston Southern: 67 · W2024 wk 14 vs Florida: 63 · L2025 wk 2 vs East Texas A&M: 50 · W2025 wk 4 vs Kent State: 50 · W2025 wk 5 vs Virginia: 50 · L2025 wk 6 vs Miami: 52 · L2025 wk 7 vs Pittsburgh: 52 · L2025 wk 8 vs Stanford: 50 · L2025 wk 10 vs Wake Forest: 50 · W2025 wk 11 vs Clemson: 51 · L2025 wk 12 vs Virginia Tech: 52 · W2025 wk 13 vs NC State: 52 · L2025 wk 14 vs Florida: 51 · L2026 wk 1 vs SMU: 65 · L2026 wk 3 vs Alabama: 67 · L2026 wk 4 vs Central Arkansas: 67 · W2026 wk 5 vs Virginia: 68 · W2026 wk 6 vs Louisville: 68 · L2026 wk 7 vs Miami: 69 · next gametypical 62

Every game since 2016, one continuous line; thin rules separate seasons and the chip is where each season finished. Navy dot = win, red = loss. Big drops usually mean a new staff, a new quarterback or a rebuilt line.

Trend · Gelthis season, after each game
typical 62wk 1 vs SMU · L · on-field 65 · fan mood 29511wk 3 vs Alabama · L · on-field 65 · fan mood 45583wk 4 vs Central Arkansas · W · on-field 61 · fan mood 40534wk 5 vs Virginia · W · on-field 67 · fan mood 66665wk 6 vs Louisville · L · on-field 68 · fan mood 64666

How the team is working right now, rebuilt after each game from only the games so far: on-field fit (results vs preseason expectation, lineup settling, execution) and that week's fan & media mood. Coach security is part of today's Gel number but isn't rebuilt week by week yet. Navy frame = win, red = loss.

Continuity facts
Head coach
Year 7
at this school
Offensive coordinator
Year 1
new this season
Defensive coordinator
Year 2
at this school
HC & OC together
1 seasons
working together
QB with his OC
1 seasons
same play-caller
QB & receivers
5.5 games
started together, average
Offensive line pairs
5.2 games
started together, average
Returning starters
27%
from last season
Starter experience
17 starts
career average
Internal facts
Pressers read
soon
this season, coaches and players
Coach tone
soon
vs his own normal
"We" vs "I"
soon
share of team language
Owning mistakes
soon
vs pointing outward
Same story
soon
coaches and players agree
After losses
soon
how fast tone recovers
Leaders named
soon
players teammates point to
Newcomers
soon
transfers talked about as part of it
Openness
soon
forthcoming vs guarded
Measured from press conferences and interviews, program by program.
Climate facts
Athletic director
Michael Alford
year 5
Football spending
$83.3M
2024-25 federal report
Spending trend
+54%
over three years
Department revenue
$193M
all sports
Recruiting spend
$1.89M
men's teams
Home crowds
—
of capacity
Staff turnover
42%
on-field staff new this season
Fan mood
soon
fans and local media
Coach & AD
soon
on the same page
Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).
Offense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Daniels
Kromah
Robinson
Danzy
Boggs
Thomas
Pabst
Chaplin
Welch-Joiner
Otto
Bowling
QBAshton Daniels66664666664
RBOusmane Kromah68874666664
WRDuce Robinson6817137666664
WRMicahi Danzy6713146666664
WRJayvan Boggs44768444443
TELanden Thomas666641266684
OLNate Pabst66664666664
OLXavier Chaplin66664666664
OLBradyn Welch-Joiner66664666664
OLAndré Otto66664866684
OLPaul Bowling44443444444

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Defense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
McCray
Wynn
Desir
Gbayor
Graham
Jones
Jones
Rawls
Jones
Barker
Richard
DLDeante McCray41212224222
DLKevin Wynn13333322333
DLMandrell Desir23846655676
LBMikai Gbayor13444433444
LBOmar Graham Jr.2364196886116
LBChris Jones23646655666
DBQuindarrius Jones22538594565
DBJa'Bril Rawls4253854125105
DBMa'Khi Jones23646655666
DBAshlynd Barker23741166106156
DBCJ Richard Jr.23646655666

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Chemistry is Scorebook's own rating of how well a program fits together, on the same all-time 0-99 scale as our other ratings (compared with every FBS team since 2016; 62 is typical, 20-50 signals something is wrong, and single digits are reserved for true collapses; each season is compared with its own era). This early version blends continuity (who has played and coached together, and for how long; it counts most) with the climate around the program; how the program talks joins as it is measured. Within continuity, quarterback-centered pairings count most because they held up when we tested them against results. How our ratings work →