Coaches / Head coach / Tony Elliott
Form · last two seasons
66
▲ Overperforming +4
Rating62recent
Peak66best 5 yrs
Career62whole career
confidence
Tony Elliott
Head Coach · Virginia
Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.
Chemistry
68
continuity at Virginia · early
Seasons here5
Programs2
Stints2
Career path
Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
Chemistry
vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.
As head coach
Rating62Form66▲ 4 over-performingPeak66Career62
2022–2026 · 5 seasonsRecord 22-26National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)Career: too early to rank all-time (8+ seasons as a head coach)
- Rating 62: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
- Peak 66: best five-season stretch, 2022–2026 at Virginia (22-26), taking over an average program.
Over expectation · 2016 on64Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).
Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.
Program lift63
Evaluation71
Results67
Recruiting41
Staff building65
Game management77
| Season | Team | Record | Season rank | vs contemporaries |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Virginia | 0-0 | #48 | +0.47 SD |
| 2025 | Virginia | 11-3 | #30 | +0.84 SD |
| 2024 | Virginia | 5-7 | #75 | -0.17 SD |
| 2023 | Virginia | 3-9 | #87 | -0.40 SD |
| 2022 | Virginia | 3-7 | #90 | -0.57 SD |
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).
As offensive coordinator
Rating75Peak88
His offense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.
| Season | Team | Unit (EPA/play) | Over expectation | Season score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Clemson | -0.03 | -0.16 | -1.48 |
| 2020 | Clemson | 0.16 | -0.04 | 0.49 |
| 2019 | Clemson | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.96 |
| 2018 | Clemson | 0.20 | 0.13 | 2.14 |
| 2017 | Clemson | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1.04 |
| 2016 | Clemson | 0.10 | — | 0.47 |
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.