NC State 8, Virginia 34

Games / Week 1 / NC State @ Virginia

Away

NC State

Wolfpack

#40 · 0-0

As of kickoff

Week 1 · ESPN · Scott Stadium

Charlottesville, VA · 80° Clear · 3 mph

All-time series

NC State 38 – 23 Virginia

61 since 1904

Last 2026 Virginia 34–8

Virginia

Cavaliers

#42 · 0-0

Home

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcDave Doeren70

ocKurt Roper71

dcD. J. Eliot59

Injuries

As of kickoff · ACC availability report · week 0 at Virginia

Carmelo McKenzie OL #93Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Gus Ritchey TE #44Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Isaiah Crowell CB #8Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

JJ Ferguson Jr. DE #95Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Rylan Vann OL #55Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Teddy Hoffmann WR #12Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Tyreek Copper WR #85Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.

Picks · locked at kickoff

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen

Virginia by 2.5

Virginia by 4

Final

Virginia by 26

Winner

hit

Got right — the winner (Virginia).

Missed — the number — market was closer (22 pts off vs our 23); the margin (final Virginia by 26, we had Virginia by 2.5).

NC State

Final

Virginia won

Virginia

How it was won

1.Virginia out-gained NC State 413-168, and the run game was 258-76 Virginia's way.
2.Pribula pass complete deep right to Martin caught at NCS 6, for 47 yards, touchdown
3.Virginia converted 3 of 14 third downs; NC State went 4 of 13.

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT
73CJ Bailey	12/23	84	0	1
—Will Wilson	3/4	8	0	0

Rushing	Att	Yds	TD
73CJ Bailey	10	33	0
—Will Wilson	6	21	1
70Jayden Scott	7	20	0

Receiving	Rec	Yds
—Vander Ploog	2	25
59Joshisa Trader	2	19
—Davion Dozier	2	14
75Preston Douglas	3	13
—Deandre Desinor	2	4
78Keenan Jackson	2	6

Defense	Tk	Sk	TFL
68Raul Aguirre Jr.	18	0	0
78Harvey Dyson III	5	0.5	1
62Ronnie Royal III	7	0	0.5
68LaCorian Hodge	3	0.5	0.5
69King Mack	7	0	0
55Katron Evans	5	0	0
70Brody Barnhardt	5	0	0
65Brian Nelson II	5	0	0
69Kevon Carter	5	0	0
56Tristan Teasdell	5	0	0
54Josiah Victor	5	0	0
65Isaiah Shirley	4	0	0
—AJ Richardson	4	0	0
64AJ Prim	4	0	0

Passing	C/A	Yds	TD	INT
68Beau Pribula	9/11	155	2	0

Rushing	Att	Yds	TD
68Beau Pribula	15	110	0
60Xavier Brown	8	40	1
72Jekail Middlebrook	15	64	0
60Xay Davis	7	13	1
60Noah Vaughn	6	21	0
—Peyton Lewis	6	10	0

Receiving	Rec	Yds	TD
60Xavier Brown	2	58	1
—Tylyric Coleman	2	31	0
62Kameron Courtney	3	12	0

Defense	Tk	Sk	TFL	INT
78Brandyn Hillman	4	0	0	1
65Jaylen Jones	1	1	1	0
66Caleb Hardy	1	1	1	0
70Maddox Marcellus	7	0	0.5	0
64Myles Brown	8	0	0	0
66Landon Danley	5	0	0	0
75Jacobie Henderson	4	0	0	0

The Matchup

NC StatevsVirginia

CJ Bailey

1,507 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT

NCSU +5

Beau Pribula

1,080 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT

Jayden Scott

358 yds · 4 TD · 3 rec

UVA +2

Jekail Middlebrook

337 yds · 3 TD · 7 rec

Keenan Jackson

27 rec · 400 yds · 5 TD

NCSU +1

Da'Shawn Martin

13 rec · 196 yds · 5 TD

Preston Douglas

24 rec · 286 yds · 1 TD

NCSU +17

John Rogers

6 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD

Teague Andersen

6 starts

UVA +9

Noah Josey

5 starts

Iron Man

Chase Bond

8 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL

UVA +15

Fisher Camac

28 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL

Harvey Dyson III

14 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks

Quarterback Hunter

NCSU +2

Kam Robinson

23 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks

Jackson Vick

21 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD

UVA +7

Brandyn Hillman

23 tkl · 3 INT · 1 PD

Ball Hawk

Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.

Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Virginia -3.5, now -3.5: unchanged

Model track record

A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.

Indexfull →

Chemistryfull →

Staff

hcTony Elliott66

ocDes Kitchings54

dcJohn Rudzinski69

Injuries

As of kickoff · ACC availability report · week 0 vs. NC State

Alex Dunn DB #27Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Alex Payne OL #76Out

Initial: Available → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Bull Richardson DT #96Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Chase Morrison DT #46Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Dillon Newton-Short WR #15Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Ezekiel Larry DE #94Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Grant Ellinger OL #65Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Isaiah Reese LB #42Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Isaiah Robinson WR #84Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Jack Stevens RB #37Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Lukas Ungar TE #86Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Noah Hartsoe OL #58Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Rico Flores Jr. WR #11Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Solomon Beebe RB #28Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Tim Hamann PK #14Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Triston Ward WR #23Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Tyler Simmons DT #56Out

Initial: Out → Update 1: Out → Update 2: Out → Game day: Out

Corey Costner S #4Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Kam Robinson LB #5Game Time Decision

Initial: Questionable → Update 1: Questionable → Update 2: Questionable → Game day: Game Time Decision

Conference reports cover ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC conference games. Return timelines from coaches' comments are coming.