Coaches / Head coach / Dave Doeren
Form · last two seasons
70
performing to its level
Rating71recent
Peak71best 5 yrs
Career71whole career
confidence
Dave Doeren
Head Coach · NC State
Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.
Chemistry
66
continuity at NC State · early
Seasons here14
Programs2
Stints2
Career path
Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
Chemistry
vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.
As head coach
Rating71Form70≈ as usualPeak71Career71
2011–2026 · 16 seasonsRecord 118-74National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)
- Rating 71: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
- Peak 71: best five-season stretch, 2021–2025 at NC State (40-24), taking over an average program.
- Career 71 (#172 since 1936): total accomplishment over 16 seasons (118-74), 0 national titles, 0 elite seasons; full credit for the program he inherited.
Over expectation · 2016 on67Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).
Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.
Program lift60
Evaluation82
Results70
Recruiting59
Staff building54
Game management71
| Season | Team | Record | Season rank | vs contemporaries |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | NC State | 0-0 | #68 | +0.09 SD |
| 2025 | NC State | 8-5 | #39 | +0.60 SD |
| 2024 | NC State | 6-7 | #80 | -0.19 SD |
| 2023 | NC State | 9-4 | #37 | +0.64 SD |
| 2022 | NC State | 8-5 | #41 | +0.52 SD |
| 2021 | NC State | 9-3 | #11 | +1.26 SD |
| 2020 | NC State | 8-4 | — | — |
| 2019 | NC State | 4-8 | #111 | -0.91 SD |
| 2018 | NC State | 9-4 | #35 | +0.63 SD |
| 2017 | NC State | 9-4 | #20 | +1.04 SD |
| 2016 | NC State | 7-6 | #34 | +0.61 SD |
| 2015 | NC State | 7-6 | #47 | +0.52 SD |
| 2014 | NC State | 8-5 | #52 | +0.15 SD |
| 2013 | NC State | 3-9 | #83 | -0.43 SD |
| 2012 | Northern Illinois | 12-1 | #49 | +0.39 SD |
| 2011 | Northern Illinois | 11-3 | #50 | +0.20 SD |
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).