Week 13 · Plaster Sports Complex
Springfield, MO · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Liberty 0 – 1 Missouri State
1 since 2025
Last 2025 Missouri State 21–17
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Liberty is favored: 88% to win, by about 18 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 88%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 88% | Liberty by 18.5 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
LibertyvsMissouri State
64
QB
1,050 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
QB
LIB +1054
QB
788 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
86
WR
22 rec · 515 yds · 5 TD
WR
LIB +977
WR
20 rec · 419 yds · 3 TD
74
LB
33 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
LIB +272
LB
60 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks
74
CB
19 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
DB
LIB +173
CB
22 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.