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Teams / Conference USA / Missouri State
Index · this season
47
▼ Below its 5-year level -8▼ Down 3 this season
Career55since 1936
Peak552025
Last 555seasons
#130 nationally · 1-4 (0-1 conf)
Résumé #131
Schedule so far #94
Margin ±5 pts (tightens with games)
Why 47? →

Missouri State Bears

Conference USA · Springfield, MO · Plaster Sports Complex · Head coach Casey Woods
Rival
Building rivalry
2-13 all time (15 meetings since 2008)
North Dakota State leads
Last: lost 59-21 (2024) · North Dakota State has won 12 straight
Wants it back
program traits are earned from history
No recognized national titles since 1936. Counted: AP poll champion, a coaches-poll champion, or the BCS / playoff title-game winner; a split year counts for both.0national titles
Heisman Trophy winners0Heisman
Seasons finishing in the AP top 10 since 19360AP top-10
Consensus All-Americans since 19360All-Americans
NFL draft picks since 19670NFL picks
Winning percentage since 193639.4%win pct
History since 1936 · football since 2025. Every season →
Chemistry
Chem 25: new staff, still building25
Chem 10: collapse
10Foundation
Chem 47: warning zone
47Gel
gel counts 40% so far
▼ Below its norm -26
early · #135 of 138
HC year1
Ret. starters27%
QB yrs w/ OC2
View chemistry →
Team chemistryearly · #135 of 138 FBS teams
Chem 10: collapseFoundation10+Chem 47: warning zoneGel47=Chem 25: warning zoneChem25Gel counts 40% so far (it grows as games are played, up to half)
Foundationwhat the program has built · moves over seasons
Foundation10Staff stability — Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnoverStaff stability16Roster continuity — Returning starters and the lineup's experienceRoster continuity44Unit cohesion — QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played togetherUnit cohesion57Administration — Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignmentAdministration49Investment — Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruitingInvestment40Fan base — How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matterFan base49
ContinuityClimate
Continuity · who has played and coached togetherlive

Who has played and coached together, and for how long, ranked against every FBS team at the same point of the season.

▸Staff stability
Coach and coordinator tenure, staff who came along, assistant turnover
16
Staff cohesion18
HC year 1 · OC year 1 · DC year 1
Assistant turnover14
100% of on-field staff new this season (FBS average about 45%)
▸Roster continuity
Returning starters and the lineup's experience
44
Returning core53
27% of last season's starters · FBS median 32%
Experience36
8 career starts per starter · FBS median 12
▸Unit cohesion
QB & coordinator, QB & receivers, offensive line, defense: how long each unit has played together
57
QB & coordinator80
2 seasons together · same as 20% of FBS teams
QB & receivers67
4.2 games started together on average · FBS median 3.9
Line cohesion16
2.5 games per linemen pair · FBS median 5.2
Defensive cohesion49
3.8 games per defensive pair · FBS median 4.5
Climate · around the programlive

The administration, money and fans around the team: athletic director continuity, willingness to invest, and crowds.

▸Administration
Athletic director continuity and coach-AD alignment
49
AD continuity49
Patrick Ransdell · year 2 (Wikipedia, CC BY-SA)
▸Investment
Commitment to football: its share of the department's spending and whether that is growing, plus spending and recruiting
40
Football's share32
23% of department spending goes to football
Investment trend69
+41% over three years
Football investment2
$6.6M on football (2024-25 federal report)
Recruiting spend30
$0.46M men's recruiting
Department resources6
$28M athletic department revenue
▸Fan base
How passionate and loyal the fan base is: how often it sells out, and whether it sells out games that don't matter
49
Crowds49
home crowds at 67% of capacity (2025)

Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures, as reported by each school. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA). Attendance: reported crowds vs stadium capacity.

Gelhow it is working right now · moves week to week
Gel47Playing above its parts — Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by gamePlaying above its parts61Settled & sharp — A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normalSettled & sharp39Alignment — Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one pageAlignmentsoonResilience — Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversityResiliencesoonFan & media mood — Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins laterFan & media mood43Coach security — The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new ADCoach security61
InternalOn-field fitExternal
Internal · how the program talkscoming

How the team talks in press conferences and interviews, each program against its own normal, so a naturally terse coach isn't read as upset. Being built program by program, Big Ten first.

▸Alignment
Coaches and players telling the same story; the staff on one page
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.
▸Resilience
Confidence, and how the team sounds after adversity
soon
Coming: measured from press conferences and interviews.

Readings are team-level; we don't publish psychological readings of individual players.

On-field fit · how it is playing togetherlive

How the team is playing together this season: beating or missing its preseason expectation, a settled lineup, clean execution.

▸Playing above its parts
Results vs what its preseason projection expected, game by game
61
This season61
-0.2 points a game vs its preseason projection (4 games)
▸Settled & sharp
A settled starting lineup and clean execution (penalties, turnovers) vs its own normal
39
This season39
74% of starters kept game to game
External · pressure from outsidelive

Pressure from outside the building: the hard-facts hot seat now; this season's fan and media mood as it is measured.

▸Fan & media mood
Expectations met or missed this season (preseason rank vs now), stronger for fan bases that react hard; fan and media sentiment joins later
43
This season43
outside the AP poll: projected #123 preseason -> #130 in our Index now · results 1-4 (-10, recent games count more)
▸Coach security
The hard-facts hot seat, inverted: results vs expectation, recent seasons vs the program's norm, stakes, a new AD
61
This season61
Casey Woods, year 1 · 20% wins so far · -0.2 pts a game vs preseason expectation

Dashed gold ring = typical (62). 20-50 is the warning zone; under 10 is a collapse. Spokes with no data yet are dashed and left out until they fill in. Chem blends the two halves, then places the blend among this season's teams.

Trend · Foundationeach program year runs Feb 1 to the title game
'2551'262025 wk 2 vs Marshall: 51 · W2025 wk 3 vs SMU: 50 · L2025 wk 4 vs UT Martin: 52 · W2025 wk 5 vs Western Kentucky: 51 · L2025 wk 7 vs Middle Tennessee: 51 · W2025 wk 9 vs New Mexico State: 48 · W2025 wk 10 vs Florida International: 53 · W2025 wk 11 vs Liberty: 53 · W2025 wk 12 vs UTEP: 54 · W2025 wk 13 vs Kennesaw State: 54 · L2025 wk 14 vs Louisiana Tech: 53 · L2025 wk 1 vs Arkansas State: 51 · L2026 wk 2 vs Lindenwood: 11 · W2026 wk 3 vs Marshall: 12 · L2026 wk 4 vs SMU: 9 · L2026 wk 6 vs Western Kentucky: 11 · L2026 wk 7 vs Kennesaw State: 11 · next gametypical 62

Every game since 2016, one continuous line; thin rules separate seasons and the chip is where each season finished. Navy dot = win, red = loss. Big drops usually mean a new staff, a new quarterback or a rebuilt line.

Trend · Gelthis season, after each game
typical 62wk 1 · on-field 41 · fan mood 48431wk 2 vs Lindenwood · W · on-field 50 · fan mood 59532wk 3 vs Marshall · L · on-field 36 · fan mood 48413wk 4 vs SMU · L · on-field 39 · fan mood 47424wk 6 vs Western Kentucky · L · on-field 43 · fan mood 48456

How the team is working right now, rebuilt after each game from only the games so far: on-field fit (results vs preseason expectation, lineup settling, execution) and that week's fan & media mood. Coach security is part of today's Gel number but isn't rebuilt week by week yet. Navy frame = win, red = loss.

Continuity facts
Head coach
Year 1
new this season
Offensive coordinator
Year 1
new this season
Defensive coordinator
Year 1
new this season
HC & OC together
1 seasons
working together
QB with his OC
2 seasons
same play-caller
QB & receivers
4.3 games
started together, average
Offensive line pairs
2.5 games
started together, average
Returning starters
27%
from last season
Starter experience
8 starts
career average
Internal facts
Pressers read
soon
this season, coaches and players
Coach tone
soon
vs his own normal
"We" vs "I"
soon
share of team language
Owning mistakes
soon
vs pointing outward
Same story
soon
coaches and players agree
After losses
soon
how fast tone recovers
Leaders named
soon
players teammates point to
Newcomers
soon
transfers talked about as part of it
Openness
soon
forthcoming vs guarded
Measured from press conferences and interviews, program by program.
Climate facts
Athletic director
Patrick Ransdell
year 2
Football spending
$6.6M
2024-25 federal report
Spending trend
+41%
over three years
Department revenue
$28M
all sports
Recruiting spend
$0.46M
men's teams
Home crowds
—
of capacity
Staff turnover
100%
on-field staff new this season
Fan mood
soon
fans and local media
Coach & AD
soon
on the same page
Finances: U.S. Department of Education athletics disclosures. Athletic directors: Wikipedia (CC BY-SA).
Offense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Locklear
Green
Miller
Myers
Hipp
Askren
Gueye
Villanueva
Greene
Large
Scrivner
QBSkyler Locklear53544424552
RBRamone Green Jr.34323312432
WRMekhi Miller53544424552
WRIsaiah Myers42443323442
TEDillon Hipp43436523542
TEJeron Askren4343515241041
OLMakhete Gueye21222222221
OLIsaiah Villanueva42433424441
OLMatthew Greene5454510241152
OLKing Large53544424552
OLLogan Scrivner22222111222

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Defense · games started togetherlatest lineup · 11 starters
Lukusa
Tchio
Chapman
Elliott
Lloyd
Cooper
Ford
Boamah
O'Neal
Kpassou
Mattison
DLJosh Lukusa53245355554
DLGilles Tchio3141362331133
DLMarkell Chapman21222122222
DLJalile Elliott43244244444
LBJared Lloyd5624273175654
LBJashawn Cooper32123433332
DBChristian Ford5324173175554
DBJoel Boamah53245355554
DBJ.J. O'Neal5112463551454
DBJoel Kpassou53245355554
DBAnthony Mattison43244244444

Each square: games the two players have started together at this school (darker = more). Gray diagonal: the player's own starts here.

Chemistry is Scorebook's own rating of how well a program fits together, on the same all-time 0-99 scale as our other ratings (compared with every FBS team since 2016; 62 is typical, 20-50 signals something is wrong, and single digits are reserved for true collapses; each season is compared with its own era). This early version blends continuity (who has played and coached together, and for how long; it counts most) with the climate around the program; how the program talks joins as it is measured. Within continuity, quarterback-centered pairings count most because they held up when we tested them against results. How our ratings work →