Building rivalry
Week 10 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Las Cruces, NM · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Liberty 7 – 2 New Mexico State
9 since 2018 · LIB 4 straight
Last 2025 Liberty 30–27
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Liberty is favored: 81% to win, by about 14 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 81%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | Liberty by 13.6 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
LibertyvsNew Mexico State
64
QB
1,050 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
QB
LIB +757
QB
906 yds · 5 TD · 6 INT
74
DL
10 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 5 TFL
DL
NMSU +983
DE
25 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
74
LB
33 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
NMSU +377
LB
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.