As of kickoff
Week 1 · CW; The CW Network · Doak Campbell Stadium
Tallahassee, FL · 81° Heavy Rain Shower · 0 mph
All-time series
New Mexico State 0 – 2 Florida State
2 since 1964 · FSU 2 straight
Last 2026 Florida State 34–17
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Florida State · hit.
We
Florida State by 36.6
Close
Florida State by 30.8
Final
Florida State by 17
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Florida State).
Missed — the number — market was closer (14 pts off vs our 20); the margin (final Florida State by 17, we had Florida State by 36.6).
New Mexico State
17
Final
Florida State won
Florida State
34
How it was won
- 1.Daniels rush right for 4 yards, touchdown
- 2.Florida State converted 8 of 14 third downs; New Mexico State went 10 of 17.
- 3.Florida State out-gained New Mexico State 419-319, and the run game was 217-47 Florida State's way.
The Matchup
New Mexico StatevsFlorida State
83
DE
25 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
NMSU +479
DL
12 tkl · 5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
77
LB
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
FSU +279
LB
37 tkl · 4 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Florida State -29, now -29: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.