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Games / Week 11 / California @ Virginia
62
Away
Golden Bears
#78 · 3-3
Week 11 · Scott Stadium
Charlottesville, VA · Forecast TBA
All-time series
California 0 – 1 Virginia
1 since 2025
Last 2025 Virginia 31–21
68
Cavaliers
#54 · 4-2
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Virginia is favored: 72% to win, by about 9 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 72%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model72%Virginia by 9.0
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

CaliforniavsVirginia
57
QB
620 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
QB
UVA +11
68
QB
1,080 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
55
RB
17 yds · 0 TD · 3 rec
RB
UVA +17
72
RB
337 yds · 3 TD · 7 rec
74
WR
39 rec · 361 yds · 2 TD
WR
UVA +3
77
WR
13 rec · 196 yds · 5 TD
81
TE
2 rec · 14 yds · 0 TD
TE
CAL +23
58
TE
6 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD
63
OL
OL
UVA +15
74
DL
14 tkl · 0 sacks · 0.5 TFL
DL
UVA +11
85
DE
28 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
LB
CAL +1
76
LB
23 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.