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62
Away
Golden Bears
#78 · 3-3
Week 9 · Carter-Finley Stadium
Raleigh, NC · Forecast TBA
All-time series
California 0 – 1 NC State
1 since 2024
Last 2024 NC State 24–23
64
Wolfpack
#71 · 3-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

NC State is favored: 64% to win, by about 6 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 64%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model64%NC State by 5.6
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

CaliforniavsNC State
57
QB
620 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
QB
NCSU +16
73
QB
1,507 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
55
RB
17 yds · 0 TD · 3 rec
RB
even
55
RB
78 yds · 1 TD · 0 rec
74
WR
39 rec · 361 yds · 2 TD
WR
NCSU +4
78
WR
27 rec · 400 yds · 5 TD
81
TE
2 rec · 14 yds · 0 TD
TE
CAL +6
75
TE
24 rec · 286 yds · 1 TD
63
OL
OL
NCSU +6
69
OL
74
DL
14 tkl · 0 sacks · 0.5 TFL
DL
CAL +4
70
DE
8 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.