As of kickoff
Established rivalry
Week 6 · ESPN · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Louisville, KY · 76° Cloudy · 4 mph
All-time series
Florida State 17 – 6 Louisville
23 since 1954
Last 2026 Louisville 44–20
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Louisville · hit.
We
Louisville by 0.5
Close
Louisville by 4.3
Final
Louisville by 24
Winner
hit
Got right — the winner (Louisville).
Missed — the number — market was closer (20 pts off vs our 24); the margin (final Louisville by 24, we had Louisville by 0.5).
Florida State
20
Final
Louisville won
Louisville
44
How it was won
- 1.Brown rush left for 97 yards, touchdown
- 2.Louisville out-gained Florida State 537-362, and the run game was 397-153 Louisville's way.
- 3.Louisville converted 4 of 9 third downs; Florida State went 7 of 17.
The Matchup
Florida StatevsLouisville
74
QB
1,320 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
QB
LOU +579
QB
1,534 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
75
RB
565 yds · 5 TD · 11 rec
RB
LOU +479
RB
557 yds · 4 TD · 10 rec
79
DL
12 tkl · 5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
LOU +1089
DL
26 tkl · 4 sacks · 4.5 TFL
79
LB
37 tkl · 4 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
FSU +277
LB
30 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Louisville -4.8, now -4.8: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.