As of kickoff
Week 5 · ACC Network · Carter-Finley Stadium
Raleigh, NC · 66° Light Rain · 6 mph
All-time series
Louisville 9 – 5 NC State
14 since 1951
Last 2026 NC State 31–28
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Louisville · missed.
We
Louisville by 2.3
Close
Louisville by 4.3
Final
NC State by 3
Winner
missed
Got right — closer than the market (5 pts off vs 7).
Missed — the winner — we had Louisville.
Louisville
28
Final
NC State won
NC State
31
How it was won
- 1.Bailey pass complete deep middle to Warren, for 34 yards, touchdown
- 2.NC State converted 9 of 17 third downs; Louisville went 4 of 9.
- 3.Louisville lost the turnover battle 3-1.
The Matchup
LouisvillevsNC State
83
RB
367 yds · 3 TD · 2 rec
RB
LOU +1370
RB
358 yds · 4 TD · 3 rec
89
DL
26 tkl · 4 sacks · 4.5 TFL
DL
LOU +1970
DE
8 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL
77
LB
30 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
NCSU +178
LB
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Louisville -6.8, now -6.8: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.