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Games / Week 11 / Arizona State @ UCF
67
Away
Arizona State
Sun Devils
#61 · 3-2
Week 11 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Orlando, FL · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Arizona State 2 – 0 UCF
2 since 2002 · ASU 2 straight
Last 2024 Arizona State 35–31
69
UCF
Knights
#52 · 3-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

UCF is favored: 63% to win, by about 5 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 63%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model63%UCF by 5.2
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

Arizona StatevsUCF
65
QB
Cutter Boley
1,229 yds · 12 TD · 3 INT
QB
ASU +7
58
QB
Keyone Jenkins
806 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
61
RB
Kyson Brown
290 yds · 1 TD · 8 rec
RB
UCF +9
70
RB
Duke Watson
483 yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
89
WR
Reed Harris★
34 rec · 590 yds · 7 TD
1.40 TDs per gameRed Zone Threat10.0 targets per gameTarget Magnet
WR
ASU +20
69
WR
Josh Derry
28 rec · 304 yds · 2 TD
54
TE
AJ Ia
5 rec · 31 yds · 1 TD
TE
UCF +12
66
TE
Caden Piening
12 rec · 126 yds · 2 TD
63
OL
Luke Baklenko
3 starts
OL
UCF +3
66
OL
Brady Wayburn
6 starts
78
DL
Jalen Thompson
15 tkl · 2 sacks · 2.5 TFL
DL
UCF +1
79
EDGE
Isaiah Nixon
22 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
76
LB
Martell Hughes
39 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
even
76
LB
Jahleel Culbreath
30 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
78
DB
Montana Warren
26 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
DB
UCF +3
81
DB
Demari Henderson
30 tkl · 2 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.