Week 10 · McLane Stadium
Waco, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Iowa State 11 – 12 Baylor
23 since 1988 · ISU 2 straight
Last 2024 Iowa State 43–21
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Baylor is favored: 67% to win, by about 7 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 67%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | Baylor by 6.7 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
Iowa StatevsBaylor
81
RB
680 yds · 6 TD · 10 rec
RB
ISU +1269
RB
317 yds · 1 TD · 5 rec
62
WR
10 rec · 191 yds · 1 TD
WR
BAY +1577
WR
42 rec · 479 yds · 2 TD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.