Coaches / Offensive coordinator / Jake Spavital
Career
55
not coaching now
Rating72recent
Peak79best 5 yrs
Career55whole career
confidence
Jake Spavital
Offensive Coordinator (Quarterbacks) · Baylor
Headline rating: as offensive coordinator. Every role he has been rated in is below.
Chemistry
65
continuity at Texas State · early
Seasons here3
Programs4
Stints5
Career path
Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
Chemistry
vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.
As head coach
Rating55Peak55Career55
2019–2022 · 4 seasonsRecord 13-35National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)Career: too early to rank all-time (8+ seasons as a head coach)
- Rating 55: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
- Peak 55: best five-season stretch, 2019–2021 at Texas State (9-27), taking over one of the weakest programs in major college football.
Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.
| Season | Team | Record | Season rank | vs contemporaries |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Texas State | 4-8 | #118 | -1.21 SD |
| 2021 | Texas State | 4-8 | #118 | -1.46 SD |
| 2020 | Texas State | 2-10 | #60 | -0.76 SD |
| 2019 | Texas State | 3-9 | #122 | -1.42 SD |
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).
As offensive coordinator
Rating72Peak79
His offense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.
| Season | Team | Unit (EPA/play) | Over expectation | Season score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Baylor | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.09 |
| 2024 | Baylor | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.60 |
| 2023 | California | -0.02 | -0.04 | -0.37 |
| 2018 | West Virginia | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1.20 |
| 2017 | West Virginia | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.60 |
| 2016 | California | 0.07 | — | 0.35 |
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.