Week 13 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Murfreesboro, TN · Forecast TBA
All-time series
New Mexico State 4 – 3 Middle Tennessee
7 since 2001
Last 2025 Middle Tennessee 31–24
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
New Mexico State is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 61%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | New Mexico State by 4.1 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
New Mexico StatevsMiddle Tennessee
83
DE
25 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
NMSU +1568
DT
6 tkl · 0 sacks · 2 TFL
77
LB
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
NMSU +572
LB
11 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.