Week 11 · Plaster Sports Complex
Springfield, MO · Forecast TBA
All-time series
New Mexico State 0 – 1 Missouri State
1 since 2025
Last 2025 Missouri State 24–17
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
New Mexico State is favored: 55% to win, by about 2 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 55%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | New Mexico State by 2.0 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
New Mexico StatevsMissouri State
83
DE
25 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
DL
NMSU +1172
DE
6 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 TFL
77
LB
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 2.5 sacks
LB
NMSU +572
LB
60 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.