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Games / Week 13 / Air Force @ New Mexico
64
Away
Falcons
#69 · 4-1
Week 13 · CW; The CW Network · University Stadium (NM)
Albuquerque, NM · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Air Force 26 – 16 New Mexico
42 since 1957 · UNM 2 straight
Last 2025 New Mexico 20–3
70
Lobos
#45 · 4-1
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

New Mexico is favored: 72% to win, by about 9 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 72%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model72%New Mexico by 8.9
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

Air ForcevsNew Mexico
84
QB
296 yds · 1 TD · 4 INT
QB
AF +26
58
QB
2,486 yds · 13 TD · 10 INT
69
RB
215 yds · 1 TD · 2 rec
RB
UNM +1
70
RB
205 yds · 2 TD · 5 rec
71
WR
3 rec · 39 yds · 0 TD
WR
even
71
WR
11 rec · 218 yds · 3 TD
56
TE
6 rec · 103 yds · 0 TD
TE
UNM +22
78
TE
14 rec · 203 yds · 2 TD
68
DL
3 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL
DL
UNM +14
82
DE
17 tkl · 3 sacks · 5 TFL
72
LB
29 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
UNM +6
78
LB
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1 sacks
71
DB
18 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
DB
UNM +11
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.