Week 9 · MW+ · CEFCU Stadium
San Jose, CA · Forecast TBA
All-time series
New Mexico 5 – 16 San José State
22 since 1954 · 1 tie · SJSU 4 straight
Last 2025 San José State 35–28
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
New Mexico is favored: 86% to win, by about 17 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 86%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 86% | New Mexico by 16.5 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
New MexicovsSan José State
82
DE
17 tkl · 3 sacks · 5 TFL
DL
SJSU +183
DL
17 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 5.5 TFL
82
S
18 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD
DB
UNM +676
CB
12 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.