Week 7 · CW; The CW Network · War Memorial Stadium
Laramie, WY · 60° · 2 mph
All-time series
Northern Illinois 0 – 2 Wyoming
2 since 2016 · WYO 2 straight
Last 2021 Wyoming 50–43
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Wyoming is favored: 72% to win, by about 9 points.
Betting markets agree (72%, by 7.8).
Our model 72%Market 72%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | Wyoming by 9.1 |
| Betting market | 72% | Wyoming by 7.8 |
| Difference | 0 pts | 1.4 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
Northern IllinoisvsWyoming
73
WR
38 rec · 333 yds · 2 TD
WR
NIU +1855
WR
9 rec · 94 yds · 1 TD
73
LB
36 tkl · 3 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
even73
LB
42 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Wyoming -7.3, now -7.8: moved 0.5 points toward Wyoming
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.