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Coaches / Head coach / Jay Sawvel
Form · last two seasons
51
performing to its level
Rating51recent
Peak51best 5 yrs
Career58whole career
confidence

Jay Sawvel

Head Coach · Wyoming

Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.

Chemistry
Chem 59: typical59
continuity at Wyoming · early
Seasons here3
Programs3
Stints4

Career path

Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
2024–2026WyomingHead Coach
2020–2023WyomingDefensive Coordinator/Safeties
2017–2018Wake ForestDefensive Coordinator
2016MinnesotaDefensive Backs

Chemistry

vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
How much continuity and loyalty his programs carryat Wyoming
Tenure here — Seasons as head coach at his current schoolTenure here59Staff continuity — Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked togetherStaff continuity48Player retention — Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)Player retention69Followers — Players and staff who followed him from his previous jobFollowers60QB & coordinator — How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinatorQB & coordinator69Roster continuity — Share of starters returning from one season to the next under himRoster continuity48
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
59
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
48
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
69
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
60
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
69
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
48
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.

As head coach

Rating51Form51≈ as usualPeak51Career58
2024–2026 · 3 seasonsRecord 7-17National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)Career: too early to rank all-time (8+ seasons as a head coach)
  • Rating 51: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
  • Peak 51: best five-season stretch, 2024–2026 at Wyoming (7-17), taking over an average program.
Over expectation · 2016 on51Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).

Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.

Program lift51
Evaluation68
Results52
Recruiting72
Staff building53
Game management70
SeasonTeamRecordSeason rankvs contemporaries
2026Wyoming0-0#132-1.58 SD
2025Wyoming4-8#107-0.92 SD
2024Wyoming3-9#114-1.08 SD
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).

As defensive coordinator

Rating67Peak72

His defense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.

SeasonTeamUnit (EPA/play)Over expectationSeason score
2023Wyoming0.01-0.000.03
2022Wyoming-0.030.02-0.02
2021Wyoming0.01-0.07-0.55
2020Wyoming0.110.101.44
2018Wake Forest-0.03-0.06-0.74
2017Wake Forest0.050.020.41
2016Minnesota0.06—0.29
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.