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63
Away
Bulldogs
#76 · 4-2
Week 11 · CW; The CW Network · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
San Marcos, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
First meeting
First meeting on file.
 
63
Bobcats
#77 · 2-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Texas State is favored: 60% to win, by about 4 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 60%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model60%Texas State by 3.9
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

Fresno StatevsTexas State
72
QB
1,252 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
QB
TXST +7
79
QB
1,226 yds · 13 TD · 5 INT
61
RB
271 yds · 3 TD · 5 rec
RB
TXST +17
74
WR
19 rec · 330 yds · 4 TD
WR
TXST +8
82
WR
17 rec · 244 yds · 2 TD
57
TE
5 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
TE
TXST +13
70
TE
5 rec · 60 yds · 1 TD
57
OL
13 starts
OL
TXST +21
78
OL
5 starts
79
DL
23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
FRES +3
76
DE
15 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3 TFL
76
LB
52 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
FRES +5
71
LB
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0 sacks
DB
FRES +19
67
DB
11 tkl · 1 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.