Bitter rivalry
Week 13 · Fox · Ohio Stadium
Columbus, OH · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Michigan 62 – 53 Ohio State
121 since 1897 · 6 ties
Last 2025 Ohio State 27–9
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Ohio State is favored: 91% to win, by about 21 points.
Betting markets like Ohio State a bit less (82%, by 13.5).
Our model 91%Market 82%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 91% | Ohio State by 20.5 |
| Betting market | 82% | Ohio State by 13.5 |
| Difference▲ | 9 pts | 7 pts |
Gaps this large have landed on our side 59% of the time (183 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →
The Matchup
MichiganvsOhio State
80
WR
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
WR
OSU +1898
WR
48 rec · 916 yds · 11 TD
85
DE
16 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
DL
even85
DE
15 tkl · 3 sacks · 4 TFL
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Ohio State -13.5, now -13.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.