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Games / Week 12 / Oregon @ Michigan State
82
Away
Oregon
Ducks
#10 · 3-2
Week 12 · Fox · Spartan Stadium
East Lansing, MI · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Oregon 5 – 3 Michigan State
8 since 1979 · ORE 2 straight
Last 2024 Oregon 31–10
68
Michigan State
Spartans
#55 · 2-4
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Oregon is favored: 77% to win, by about 11 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 77%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model77%Oregon by 11.2
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

OregonvsMichigan State
71
QB
Dylan Raiola
456 yds · 5 TD · 2 INT
QB
ORE +7
64
QB
Alessio Milivojevic
1,047 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
74
RB
Jordon Davison
301 yds · 6 TD · 4 rec
RB
ORE +9
65
RB
Jaziun Patterson
254 yds · 5 TD · 4 rec
77
WR
Evan Stewart
27 rec · 352 yds · 4 TD
WR
ORE +14
63
WR
Rodney Bullard Jr.
19 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
82
TE
Jamari Johnson
12 rec · 182 yds · 1 TD
TE
ORE +13
69
TE
Jayden Savoury
23 rec · 228 yds · 0 TD
78
OL
Iapani Laloulu
5 starts
OL
ORE +9
69
OL
Robert Wright Jr.
0 starts
80
DL
Bear Alexander
23 tkl · 2 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
ORE +1
79
DL
Eli Coenen
14 tkl · 3 sacks · 4 TFL
90
LB
Teitum Tuioti
26 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
0.59 sacks + hurries per gameQuarterback Hunter
LB
ORE +17
73
LB
Jordan Hall
25 tkl · 3 TFL · 0 sacks
85
DB
Ify Obidegwu
11 tkl · 0 INT · 5 PD
DB
ORE +14
71
CB
Tre Bell
16 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.