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Coaches / Head coach / Pat Fitzgerald
Form · last two seasons
66
performing to its level
Rating66recent
Peak66best 5 yrs
Career65whole career
confidence

Pat Fitzgerald

Head Coach · Michigan State

Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.

Chemistry
Chem 49: warning zone49
continuity at Michigan State · early
Seasons here1
Programs2
Stints2

Career path

Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
2026Michigan StateHead Coach
2006–2022NorthwesternHead Coach

Chemistry

vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
How much continuity and loyalty his programs carryat Michigan State
Tenure here — Seasons as head coach at his current schoolTenure here29Staff continuity — Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked togetherStaff continuity48Player retention — Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)Player retentionsoonFollowers — Players and staff who followed him from his previous jobFollowers86QB & coordinator — How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinatorQB & coordinator56Roster continuity — Share of starters returning from one season to the next under himRoster continuity27
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
29
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
48
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
soon
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
86
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
56
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
27
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.

As head coach

Rating66Form66≈ as usualPeak66Career65
2006–2026 · 18 seasonsRecord 110-101National titles 0Great seasons 0 (top ~7% of all teams that year)
  • Rating 66: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
  • Peak 66: best five-season stretch, 2016–2020 at Northwestern (36-25), taking over an average program.
  • Career 65 (#261 since 1936): total accomplishment over 18 seasons (110-101), 0 national titles, 0 elite seasons; full credit for the program he inherited.
Over expectation · 2016 on56Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).

Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.

Program lift55
Evaluation76
Results60
Recruiting67
Staff building55
Game management54
SeasonTeamRecordSeason rankvs contemporaries
2026Michigan State0-0#53+0.33 SD
2022Northwestern1-11#96-0.68 SD
2021Northwestern3-9#96-0.68 SD
2020Northwestern7-2#13+1.04 SD
2019Northwestern3-9#78-0.24 SD
2018Northwestern9-5#43+0.50 SD
2017Northwestern10-3#22+1.00 SD
2016Northwestern7-6#29+0.80 SD
2015Northwestern10-3#56+0.23 SD
2014Northwestern5-7#64-0.02 SD
2013Northwestern5-7#61+0.11 SD
2012Northwestern10-3#30+0.68 SD
2011Northwestern6-7#57+0.09 SD
2010Northwestern7-6#79-0.44 SD
2009Northwestern8-5#73-0.26 SD
2008Northwestern9-4#44+0.30 SD
2007Northwestern6-6#79-0.56 SD
2006Northwestern4-8#77-0.44 SD
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).