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Games / Week 1 / Fresno State @ USC
61
Away
Bulldogs
#82 · 0-0
As of kickoff
Week 1 · FOX · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Los Angeles, CA · 75° Clear · 6 mph
All-time series
Fresno State 1 – 6 USC
7 since 1992 · USC 6 straight
Last 2026 USC 39–0
79
Trojans
#20 · 1-0
Home
Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had USC · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
USC by 22.8
Close
USC by 22
Final
USC by 39
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (USC); closer than the market (16 pts off vs 17).

Missed — the margin (final USC by 39, we had USC by 22.8).

Fresno State
0
Final
USC won
USC
39
How it was won
  1. 1.USC out-gained Fresno State 552-116, and the run game was 140-39 USC's way.
  2. 2.Maiava pass complete deep middle to Mosley caught at FST 39, for 68 yards, touchdown
  3. 3.USC converted 5 of 8 third downs; Fresno State went 2 of 10.

The Matchup

Fresno StatevsUSC
61
RB
271 yds · 3 TD · 5 rec
RB
USC +15
76
RB
595 yds · 4 TD · 4 rec
74
WR
19 rec · 330 yds · 4 TD
WR
USC +11
57
TE
5 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
TE
USC +20
77
TE
21 rec · 204 yds · 2 TD
57
OL
13 starts
OL
USC +27
84
OL
7 starts
79
DL
23 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
FRES +3
76
DE
27 tkl · 2 sacks · 6 TFL
76
LB
52 tkl · 3 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
FRES +6
70
LB
28 tkl · 2 TFL · 0.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened USC -23.3, now -23.3: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.