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Games / Week 1 / Boise State @ Oregon
71
Away
Broncos
#49 · 0-0
As of kickoff
Week 1 · CBS · Autzen Stadium
Eugene, OR · 68° Fair · 2 mph
All-time series
Boise State 3 – 2 Oregon
5 since 2008 · ORE 2 straight
Last 2026 Oregon 34–27
94
Ducks
#3 · 0-0
Home
Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Oregon · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
Oregon by 27.2
Close
Oregon by 24.8
Final
Oregon by 7
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (Oregon).

Missed — the number — market was closer (18 pts off vs our 20); the margin (final Oregon by 7, we had Oregon by 27.2).

Boise State
27
Final
Oregon won
Oregon
34
How it was won
  1. 1.Moore pass complete deep middle to Moore caught at BSU 42, for 62 yards, touchdown
  2. 2.Oregon out-gained Boise State 497-274.
  3. 3.Oregon converted 4 of 12 third downs; Boise State went 4 of 15.

The Matchup

Boise StatevsOregon
87
RB
835 yds · 6 TD · 11 rec
RB
BOIS +13
74
RB
301 yds · 6 TD · 4 rec
72
WR
12 rec · 137 yds · 2 TD
WR
ORE +5
77
WR
27 rec · 352 yds · 4 TD
79
TE
22 rec · 242 yds · 4 TD
TE
ORE +3
82
TE
12 rec · 182 yds · 1 TD
83
OL
OL
BOIS +5
78
OL
75
DL
8 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
ORE +5
80
DL
23 tkl · 2 sacks · 3 TFL
80
LB
13 tkl · 4 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
ORE +10
DB
ORE +2
85
DB
11 tkl · 0 INT · 5 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened Oregon -24.5, now -24.5: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.