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Games / Week 11 / Louisville @ North Carolina
75
Away
Louisville
Cardinals
#28 · 3-3
Week 11 · Kenan Stadium
Chapel Hill, NC · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Louisville 5 – 3 North Carolina
8 since 1988 · LOU 2 straight
Last 2017 Louisville 47–35
68
North Carolina
Tar Heels
#57 · 3-2
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Louisville is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 61%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model61%Louisville by 4.2
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

LouisvillevsNorth Carolina
79
QB
Lincoln Kienholz
1,534 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
QB
LOU +12
67
QB
Billy Edwards
1,068 yds · 8 TD · 5 INT
79
RB
Isaac Brown
557 yds · 4 TD · 10 rec
6.4 yards per carryHome Run Hitter
RB
LOU +16
63
RB
Demon June
143 yds · 5 TD · 1 rec
79
WR
Lawayne McCoy
20 rec · 420 yds · 4 TD
WR
LOU +5
74
WR
Jordan Shipp
26 rec · 366 yds · 0 TD
81
TE
Brody Foley
2 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD
TE
LOU +2
79
TE
Jelani Thurman
22 rec · 262 yds · 4 TD
0.80 TDs per gameRed Zone Threat7.4 targets per gameTarget Magnet
79
OL
Lance Robinson
6 starts
42 career startsIron Man
OL
LOU +16
63
OL
Christo Kelly
5 starts
89
DL
Clev Lubin
26 tkl · 4 sacks · 4.5 TFL
0.79 sacks + hurries per gameQuarterback Hunter
DL
LOU +6
83
DL
Xavier Lewis
29 tkl · 6.5 sacks · 9.5 TFL
0.81 TFL per gameBackfield Wrecker0.73 sacks + hurries per gameQuarterback Hunter
77
LB
Benjamin Perry
30 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
LOU +7
70
LB
Derek McDonald
48 tkl · 1 TFL · 0 sacks
80
DB
Kaleb Beasley
42 tkl · 4 INT · 3 PD
0.15 interceptions per gameBall Hawk
DB
LOU +1
79
DB
Jaiden Patterson
23 tkl · 0 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.