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Games / Week 10 / Duke @ NC State
69
Away
Duke
Blue Devils
#49 · 4-1
Week 10 · Carter-Finley Stadium
Raleigh, NC · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Duke 44 – 37 NC State
86 since 1924 · 5 ties · DUKE 3 straight
Last 2025 Duke 45–33
64
NC State
Wolfpack
#71 · 3-3
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Duke is favored: 59% to win, by about 4 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 59%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model59%Duke by 3.6
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

DukevsNC State
61
QB
Walker Eget
980 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
QB
NCSU +12
73
QB
CJ Bailey
1,507 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
88
RB
Nate Sheppard
743 yds · 8 TD · 17 rec
23.6 carries per gameWorkhorse
RB
DUKE +33
55
RB
Dylan McCoy
78 yds · 1 TD · 0 rec
65
WR
Jared Richardson
9 rec · 111 yds · 2 TD
WR
NCSU +13
78
WR
Keenan Jackson
27 rec · 400 yds · 5 TD
80
TE
Jeremiah Hasley
19 rec · 234 yds · 0 TD
TE
DUKE +5
75
TE
Preston Douglas
24 rec · 286 yds · 1 TD
77
OL
Matt Craycraft
5 starts
OL
DUKE +8
69
OL
Teague Andersen
6 starts
78
DE
Tyshon Reed
11 tkl · 2 sacks · 4.5 TFL
DL
DUKE +8
70
DE
Chase Bond
8 tkl · 1 sacks · 1 TFL
77
LB
Luke Mergott
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0 sacks
LB
NCSU +1
78
LB
Harvey Dyson III
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sacks
0.71 sacks + hurries per gameQuarterback Hunter
73
CB
Dylan Flowers
21 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
DB
DUKE +2
71
CB
Jackson Vick
21 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.