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Games / Week 8 / Pittsburgh @ Miami
74
Away
Pittsburgh
Panthers
#35 · 5-1
Week 8 · Hard Rock Stadium
Miami Gardens, FL · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Pittsburgh 12 – 30 Miami
43 since 1950 · 1 tie
Last 2025 Miami 38–7
93
Miami
Hurricanes
#4 · 5-0
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Pick a winner · locks at kickoff

Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.

Model vs market

Miami is favored: 92% to win, by about 22 points.

No betting line yet.

Our model 92%
Win chanceExpected margin
Our model92%Miami by 21.5
Betting market——
Difference——

The Matchup

PittsburghvsMiami
54
QB
Holden Geriner
438 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
QB
MIA +35
89
QB
★Darian Mensah
1,438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
success rate 68% per attempt, top 0% of startersSurgeonINT rate 0.0%, top 1% of startersBall Guardian
67
RB
La'Vell Wright
190 yds · 4 TD · 6 rec
RB
MIA +11
78
RB
Mark Fletcher Jr.
307 yds · 5 TD · 4 rec
72
WR
Censere Lee
19 rec · 204 yds · 4 TD
WR
MIA +21
93
WR
★Malachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
1.20 TDs per gameRed Zone Threat9.4 targets per gameTarget Magnet
67
TE
Carson Kent
19 rec · 218 yds · 1 TD
TE
MIA +5
72
TE
Elija Lofton
12 rec · 134 yds · 1 TD
72
OL
Ryan Baer
6 starts
OL
MIA +15
87
OL
Matthew McCoy
5 starts
starter on a top pass-protection unitBrick Wall
83
DL
Isaiah Neal
17 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 3 TFL
DL
MIA +1
84
DL
Damon Wilson II
5 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
83
LB
Braylan Lovelace
20 tkl · 2 TFL · 1 sacks
0.03 interceptions per gameBall Hawk
LB
PITT +6
77
LB
Mohamed Toure
18 tkl · 0 TFL · 0 sacks
77
DB
Raion Strader
20 tkl · 1 INT · 5 PD
DB
MIA +3
80
DB
Zechariah Poyser
15 tkl · 0 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.