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Coaches / Head coach / Mario Cristobal
Form · last two seasons
82
▲ Overperforming +6
Rating76recent
Peak82best 5 yrs
Career65whole career
confidence

Mario Cristobal

Head Coach · Miami

Headline rating: as head coach. Every role he has been rated in is below.

Chemistry
Chem 70: strong70
continuity at Miami · early
Seasons here5
Programs3
Stints4

Career path

Head-coaching stints since 1936; assistant roles since 2016
2022–2026MiamiHead Coach
2018–2021OregonHead Coach
2017OregonCo-Offensive Coordinator/Offensive Line
2007–2012Florida InternationalHead Coach

Chemistry

vs every head coach since 2016 · 62 = typical
How much continuity and loyalty his programs carryat Miami
Tenure here — Seasons as head coach at his current schoolTenure here70Staff continuity — Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked togetherStaff continuity86Player retention — Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)Player retention69Followers — Players and staff who followed him from his previous jobFollowers93QB & coordinator — How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinatorQB & coordinator56Roster continuity — Share of starters returning from one season to the next under himRoster continuity43
Tenure here
Seasons as head coach at his current school
70
Staff continuity
Seasons he and his offensive coordinator have worked together
86
Player retention
Players kept vs. the league norm for similar rosters (fewer transfers out)
69
Followers
Players and staff who followed him from his previous job
93
QB & coordinator
How long his quarterbacks have played for the same coordinator
56
Roster continuity
Share of starters returning from one season to the next under him
43
Dashed gold ring on the radar = average (62). Chemistry scale: 62 is typical, 20-50 is a warning sign, under 10 is a collapse.

As head coach

Rating76Form82▲ 6 over-performingPeak82Career65
2007–2026 · 15 seasonsRecord 97-78National titles 0Great seasons 2 (top ~7% of all teams that year)
  • Rating 76: his whole career, recent seasons weighted most, measured as how far his teams stood above their era, crediting him with half of what each program already was when he arrived (about the share that, historically, follows a coach to his next job), fading as the program becomes his own.
  • Peak 82: best five-season stretch, 2022–2026 at Miami (35-19, 2 top-10 seasons by team strength), taking over a good program.
  • Career 65 (#262 since 1936): total accomplishment over 15 seasons (97-78), 0 national titles, 2 elite seasons; full credit for the program he inherited.
  • Won big at one of his 3 programs (Miami).
Over expectation · 2016 on78Results against what his rosters' talent predicted (program lift, evaluation, recruiting, staff building, game management).

Rating = who he is: his whole head-coaching career (since 1936), weighted toward recent years — how far his teams stood above their contemporaries, how much he lifted programs, his great seasons and titles. Form = the last two seasons. Career = the all-time ranking number.

Program lift73
Evaluation70
Results86
Recruiting72
Staff building74
Game management54
SeasonTeamRecordSeason rankvs contemporaries
2026Miami0-0#8+1.55 SD
2025Miami13-3#5+1.91 SD
2024Miami10-3#12+1.39 SD
2023Miami7-6#27+0.80 SD
2022Miami5-7#82-0.44 SD
2021Oregon10-3#21+0.93 SD
2020Oregon4-3——
2019Oregon12-2#7+1.59 SD
2018Oregon9-4#48+0.41 SD
2012Florida International3-9#99-0.92 SD
2011Florida International8-5#80-0.48 SD
2010Florida International7-6#82-0.48 SD
2009Florida International3-9#102-1.17 SD
2008Florida International5-7#98-0.93 SD
2007Florida International1-11#117-1.75 SD
Season rank = his team among all major-college teams that year; vs contemporaries = how far above the average team (in standard deviations).

As offensive coordinator

Rating60Peak60

His offense against its preseason projection (value over expectation) and the unit's opponent-adjusted quality.

SeasonTeamUnit (EPA/play)Over expectationSeason score
2017Oregon0.00-0.05-0.41
Season score: 0 = an average season in this role; positive = better.