Week 7 · ACC Network · JMA Wireless Dome
Syracuse, NY · Indoors
All-time series
Louisville 13 – 8 Syracuse
21 since 1985
Last 2022 Syracuse 31–7
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Louisville is favored: 69% to win, by about 8 points.
Betting markets like Louisville a bit more (82%, by 14.5).
Our model 69%Market 82%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | Louisville by 7.8 |
| Betting market | 82% | Louisville by 14.5 |
| Difference | 13 pts | 6.7 pts |
Gaps this size have landed on our side 54% of the time (613 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →
The Matchup
LouisvillevsSyracuse
79
WR
20 rec · 420 yds · 4 TD
WR
SYR +887
WR
37 rec · 560 yds · 6 TD
89
DL
26 tkl · 4 sacks · 4.5 TFL
DL
LOU +980
DL
18 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3 TFL
77
LB
30 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
LOU +176
LB
13 tkl · 4 TFL · 4 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Louisville -11.8, now -14.5: moved 2.8 points toward Louisville
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.