As of kickoff
Week 1 · ESPN · Doak Campbell Stadium
Tallahassee, FL · 88° Cloudy · 4 mph · rain
All-time series
SMU 2 – 0 Florida State
2 since 2024 · SMU 2 straight
Last 2026 SMU 27–24
Picks · locked at kickoff
Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had Florida State · missed.
We
Florida State by 0.9
Close
SMU by 3
Final
SMU by 3
Winner
missed
Missed — the winner — we had Florida State; the number — market was closer (0 pts off vs our 4).
SMU
27
Final
SMU won
Florida State
24
How it was won
- 1.SMU out-gained Florida State 585-324.
- 2.Kevin Jennings pass complete to Yannick Smith for 79 yds for a TD
- 3.SMU converted 8 of 14 third downs; Florida State went 2 of 15.
The Matchup
SMUvsFlorida State
77
QB
1,613 yds · 14 TD · 5 INT
QB
SMU +374
QB
1,320 yds · 8 TD · 7 INT
84
DE
16 tkl · 4.5 sacks · 6 TFL
DL
SMU +579
DL
12 tkl · 5 sacks · 7.5 TFL
76
LB
16 tkl · 3 TFL · 1.5 sacks
LB
FSU +379
LB
37 tkl · 4 TFL · 1.5 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened SMU -2.5, now -2.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.