Week 11 · Kroger Field
Lexington, KY · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Florida 54 – 22 Kentucky
76 since 1917
Last 2025 Kentucky 38–7
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Florida is favored: 55% to win, by about 2 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 55%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | Florida by 2.1 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
FloridavsKentucky
76
QB
1,341 yds · 9 TD · 3 INT
QB
FLA +1066
QB
1,394 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
85
DL
11 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
UK +186
DL
18 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
80
LB
24 tkl · 7 TFL · 4.5 sacks
LB
UK +282
LB
52 tkl · 3 TFL · 2 sacks
74
CB
10 tkl · 1 INT · 3 PD
DB
UK +579
DB
48 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.