Week 11 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Stillwater, OK · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Texas Tech 25 – 24 Oklahoma State
52 since 1935 · 3 ties · TTU 2 straight
Last 2025 Texas Tech 42–0
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Texas Tech is favored: 69% to win, by about 8 points.
Betting markets like Texas Tech a bit more (84%, by 15.5).
Our model 69%Market 84%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | Texas Tech by 7.8 |
| Betting market | 84% | Texas Tech by 15.5 |
| Difference▲ | 15 pts | 7.7 pts |
Gaps this large have landed on our side 59% of the time (183 games, 2019–2024): where our line has historically held up. Track record →
The Matchup
Texas TechvsOklahoma State
77
QB
35 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
QB
OKST +178
QB
1,575 yds · 13 TD · 5 INT
86
DL
13 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
DL
TTU +977
DE
11 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
88
LB
33 tkl · 5 TFL · 1 sacks
LB
TTU +1276
LB
53 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Texas Tech -15.5, now -15.5: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.