Established rivalry
Week 10 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Salt Lake City, UT · Forecast TBA
All-time series
BYU 34 – 59 Utah
97 since 1922 · 4 ties · BYU 3 straight
Last 2025 BYU 24–21
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Utah is favored: 61% to win, by about 4 points.
Betting markets like Utah a bit less (56%, by 3).
Our model 61%Market 56%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | Utah by 4.4 |
| Betting market | 56% | Utah by 3 |
| Difference | 5 pts | 1.4 pts |
Gaps this small have landed on our side 50% of the time (1219 games, 2019–2024): a lean, not a call. Track record →
The Matchup
BYUvsUtah
75
QB
1,033 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
QB
UTAH +580
QB
1,134 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
67
RB
176 yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
RB
UTAH +2289
RB
499 yds · 7 TD · 17 rec
79
DE
11 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 6.5 TFL
DL
BYU +376
DE
10 tkl · 0 sacks · 1 TFL
80
LB
26 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sacks
LB
BYU +179
LB
24 tkl · 1 TFL · 1 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Opened Utah -3, now -3: unchanged
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.