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Games / Week 3 / Georgia State @ UCF
55
Away
Panthers
#108 · 2-0
As of kickoff
Week 3 · ESPN+ · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Orlando, FL · 80° Heavy Rain · 4 mph · rain
All-time series
Georgia State 0 – 1 UCF
1 since 2026
Last 2026 UCF 44–30
71
Knights
#42 · 1-1
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Picks · locked at kickoff

Sign in to pick next week’s games. We had UCF · hit.

Model vs marketKickoff line · frozen
We
UCF by 20.4
Close
UCF by 17.5
Final
UCF by 14
Winner
hit

Got right — the winner (UCF); the number, within a score.

Missed — the number — market was closer (4 pts off vs our 6).

Georgia State
30
Final
UCF won
UCF
44
How it was won
  1. 1.Watson rush left for 63 yards, touchdown
  2. 2.UCF converted 3 of 12 third downs; Georgia State went 8 of 16.
  3. 3.Georgia State lost the turnover battle 3-1.

The Matchup

Georgia StatevsUCF
69
RB
361 yds · 3 TD · 4 rec
RB
UCF +1
70
RB
483 yds · 3 TD · 6 rec
WR
GAST +15
69
WR
28 rec · 304 yds · 2 TD
58
TE
8 rec · 105 yds · 0 TD
TE
UCF +8
66
TE
12 rec · 126 yds · 2 TD
75
OL
OL
GAST +9
66
OL
DL
UCF +1
79
EDGE
22 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
75
S
18 tkl · 1 INT · 2 PD
DB
UCF +6
81
DB
30 tkl · 2 INT · 3 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Market line historyWhat’s this?

Opened UCF -20.8, now -20.8: unchanged

Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.