Heated rivalry
Week 13 · Kroger Field
Lexington, KY · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Louisville 17 – 17 Kentucky
34 since 1915 · LOU 2 straight
Last 2025 Louisville 41–0
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Kentucky is favored: 54% to win, by about 1 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 54%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | Kentucky by 1.5 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
LouisvillevsKentucky
79
QB
1,534 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
QB
LOU +1366
QB
1,394 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
79
RB
557 yds · 4 TD · 10 rec
RB
LOU +376
RB
361 yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
89
DL
26 tkl · 4 sacks · 4.5 TFL
DL
LOU +386
DL
18 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
77
LB
30 tkl · 2 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
UK +582
LB
52 tkl · 3 TFL · 2 sacks
80
DB
42 tkl · 4 INT · 3 PD
DB
LOU +179
DB
48 tkl · 2 INT · 2 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.