Heated rivalry
Week 10 · Neyland Stadium
Knoxville, TN · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Kentucky 25 – 84 Tennessee
118 since 1906 · 9 ties · TENN 5 straight
Last 2025 Tennessee 56–34
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Tennessee is favored: 72% to win, by about 9 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 72%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | Tennessee by 9.1 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
KentuckyvsTennessee
66
QB
1,394 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
QB
UK +264
QB
395 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
76
RB
361 yds · 3 TD · 3 rec
RB
TENN +1288
RB
678 yds · 8 TD · 5 rec
86
DL
18 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4 TFL
DL
TENN +389
DL
22 tkl · 5 sacks · 10 TFL
82
LB
52 tkl · 3 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
TENN +385
LB
38 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2 sacks
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.