Week 9 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Austin, TX · Forecast TBA
All-time series
Mississippi State 2 – 4 Texas
6 since 1921 · TEX 3 straight
Last 2025 Texas 45–38
Pick a winner · locks at kickoff
Straight up, vs our line. Sign in to save a pick.
Texas is favored: 81% to win, by about 14 points.
No betting line yet.
Our model 81%
| Win chance | Expected margin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 81% | Texas by 13.7 |
| Betting market | — | — |
| Difference | — | — |
The Matchup
Mississippi StatevsTexas
78
RB
403 yds · 3 TD · 9 rec
RB
MSST +969
RB
237 yds · 2 TD · 11 rec
88
WR
40 rec · 574 yds · 5 TD
WR
MSST +682
WR
16 rec · 304 yds · 5 TD
77
DL
13 tkl · 2 sacks · 3.5 TFL
DL
TEX +1996
EDGE
16 tkl · 9 sacks · 11.5 TFL
74
LB
31 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2 sacks
LB
TEX +1690
LB
42 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1 sacks
80
CB
17 tkl · 0 INT · 6 PD
DB
TEX +686
DB
17 tkl · 1 INT · 4 PD
Same job, both sides — who is most likely to play, not the highest chip. Listed Out is skipped; Questionable stays in.
Model track record
A public, timestamped record of every prediction vs. the market starts with the next update. Never gated.